This pullback is really not surprising at all.


I already laid out the rhythm very clearly last week. Around 76,000 was originally a stage target level.
Early this morning it hit exactly 75,998, then quickly fell back. A 2,000-point range—to be frank, that's just the market cashing in sentiment.
What truly determines the direction of this rally is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this time. If the dot plot confirms fewer rate cuts and a delayed timeline, then the high-rate environment will continue suppressing risk assets.
If oil prices maintain elevated levels and inflationary pressure doesn't ease, the Fed naturally won't dare pivot easily.
Once a chain reaction forms, volatility in risk assets will only intensify.
In the short term, after the rate decision lands, there's likely to be a wave of emotional rebound, but we need to be cautious about its sustainability.
BTC faces strong resistance at 78k-79k above. A one-shot breakthrough isn't realistic.
Medium-term, if rate cuts continue to be delayed, the overall market structure will remain caught between consolidation and weakness.
But let's be real—no matter how many digits are in your account, actually cashing out is what counts. Especially just after the new year, everyone's wallets are probably empty, right?
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BTC0.82%
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