3.18 Afternoon Market Analysis **15-Minute Chart Overview:** After rallying to 74850, price pulled back sharply and is now trading near 74204.9 (Bollinger Band midline). - Bollinger Band upper band at 74528.1 forms strong short-term resistance - Lower band at 73880.7 provides support - Price continues trading below the midline - Moving averages turning downward; bears dominating short-term momentum with weak rebound strength **Fed Decision Headwinds:** Tonight's FOMC meeting is likely to hold rates steady, but the dot plot and Powell's remarks are key risk factors. Market expectations for 2026 rate cuts have cooled significantly. The "higher rates for longer" narrative will tighten liquidity and directly compress risk asset valuations. **Long Profit Taking:** After yesterday's rally to 75800, the uptrend collapsed with clear signs of institutional profit-taking. Combined with the Fear & Greed Index in extreme fear territory, bulls lack conviction to chase higher, with selling pressure persisting at elevated levels. **Geopolitical & Compliance Headwinds:** Middle East escalation raises stagflation risks and reinforces Fed hawkishness. Simultaneously, tightening global crypto regulations (South Korea's exchange penalties, Hong Kong's limited stablecoin licenses) make it difficult for market risk appetite to recover. **Trading Recommendations:** On bounces to 74500–75000 range, fade the move. First target: 73200. On breakdown: 73700#伊朗确认拉里贾尼遇害 $BTC $ETH

After XRP's market cap surpassed BNB, the price surged to near $1.60, displaying rare bottom signals and strong rebound potential. Analysts point out that weekly RSI oversold conditions and negative funding rates are indicators of a potential long-term bottom. The key support zone of $1.44 to $1.48 is crucial for near-term price action; if this level holds, the price may retest $1.60, while a breakdown could lead to a test of $1.34. This rally is primarily driven by Bitcoin correlation, favorable technical setup, and institutional ETF capital inflows, though low trading volume and resistance at $1.60 present risks.

2026.03.18 (Wednesday) Global Financial Events｜Trading Must-Read Today's global markets focus on inflation data and central bank decisions, with exchange rates, precious metals, crude oil, and US stocks all facing critical volatility windows. Key events sorted by time as follows: 18:00 Eurozone February CPI year-over-year/month-over-month final values released, inflation sets the tone for EUR currency and gold trends 20:30 US February PPI year-over-year/month-over-month announced, production-side inflation directly impacts Federal Reserve policy expectations 21:45 Bank of Canada announces interest rate decision, CAD and commodity markets face key guidance 22:00 US January factory orders month-over-month released, reflects manufacturing sentiment 22:30 US weekly EIA crude oil inventory, Cushing inventory, and strategic petroleum reserve inventories released simultaneously, core catalyst for oil price short-term volatility 22:30 Bank of Canada Governor and Deputy Governor hold press conference, release subsequent policy signals Next day 02:00 Federal Reserve announces interest rate decision and economic projections summary, quarterly dot plot takes center stage Next day 02:30 Federal Reserve Chair Powell holds press conference, policy statement determines global asset medium-term direction#Gate广场AI测评官 $BTC