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自九月以來,油價算法信號首次轉為看漲。圍繞伊朗言論的地緣政治緊張局勢似乎引發了初步動能,但目前真正推動市場的,是期權市場的機制——Delta對沖流動正在形成一個自我強化的循環,將原油估值推升至遠超基本面所能支持的水平。當期權交易者調整對沖時,會放大價格變動,進而促使進一步調整。這是衍生品市場中的一個典型反饋循環。布倫特原油對這些算法和期權驅動的波動尤為敏感,使得觀察這種反身推動能持續多久,直到市場重新校準到合理價值,變得尤為重要。