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预测市場的推出確實令人期待,但混合保證金機制潛伏著不小的隱患——帳戶大幅爆倉的問題很可能再度上演。相比之下,BP二級市場的波動幅度要溫和得多,不像某些預測市場的token價格那樣極端波動,從99直線跌到1的情況屢見不鮮。
不過從專業交易員的角度看,這種高風險的設計恰恰孕育了機遇。混沌的市場環境往往是最有策略空間的地方,各類套利、對沖乃至創新交易手段都有施展的舞台。風險與收益從來都是一對孿生兄弟。