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比特幣短期持有者恐慌拋售,對關鍵支撐位構成考驗
哈世鏈聞消息,CryptoQuant分析指出,比特幣短期持有者已實現支出產出利益率(STH SOPR)急跌至1,顯示出短期持有者正遭受虧損,這是典型的恐慌性拋售跡象。短期持有者不僅持倉浮虧,還積極拋售,以11.3萬美元/枚價格計算,此次恐慌拋售規模達33.9億美元。不過,比特幣價格仍在短期持有者已實現價格(平均鏈上成本價)附近波動,歷史數據表明該價位在波動階段常起支撐作用。值得注意的是,鯨魚也顯現承壓跡象,新鯨魚已實現虧損1.846億美元,舊鯨魚已實現虧損2630萬美元,雙方均在去風險化,對短期走勢不利。此外,短期持有者MVRV約等於1,意味着平均持倉處於盈虧平衡點,但SOPR<1表明許多人正以成本價以下拋售,反映出近期反彈行情中的高位買入者正恐慌性拋售。
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