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POLYMARKET

Polymarket Price

Closed
POLYMARKET
$0
+$0(%0,00)
No data

*Data last updated: 2026-04-16 05:16 (UTC+8)

As of 2026-04-16 05:16, Polymarket (POLYMARKET) is priced at $0, with a total market cap of --, a P/E ratio of 0,00, and a dividend yield of %0,00. Today, the stock price fluctuated between $0 and $0. The current price is %0,00 above the day's low and %0,00 below the day's high, with a trading volume of --. Over the past 52 weeks, POLYMARKET has traded between $0 to $0, and the current price is %0,00 away from the 52-week high.

POLYMARKET Key Stats

P/E Ratio0,00
Dividend Yield (TTM)%0,00
Shares Outstanding0,00

Learn More about Polymarket (POLYMARKET)

Gate Learn Articles

What is Polymarket？

Polymarket is a decentralized binary prediction market that allows anyone to place bets and trade on the outcomes of future events based on their own predictions. This reflects the market's genuine opinions on various events. This article will provide a detailed overview of Polymarket from multiple perspectives, including its development background, gameplay, operational mechanism, and economic model, as well as the challenges it currently faces.

2024-11-26

Don't overestimate the efficiency of Polymarket

This article provides an in-depth analysis of the effectiveness of the Polymarket prediction market platform in event forecasting, exploring its limitations in handling small probability changes. The text discusses the potential impact of market liquidity and prediction tokens on improving forecast accuracy, and compares Polymarket with traditional market prediction tools. The author believes that while Polymarket may be superior to traditional polls and expert models in predicting major political events, it is not a precise prediction tool.

2024-09-08

Polymarket Upgrades Exchange Infrastructure With New Collateral Token

Polymarket, the prediction market platform, is set to comprehensively upgrade its trading infrastructure with the introduction of a new trading contract and a new collateral token, Polymarket USD. These changes will enhance order matching efficiency, expand wallet compatibility, and give the platform improved control over settlement and risk management. This upgrade is also closely tied to Polymarket’s ongoing strategy to strengthen regulatory compliance and market transparency in recent years.

2026-04-07

Blogs

Gate x Polymarket: How Many Times Will the Fed Cut Rates in 2026?

As of April 16, 2026, market expectations for the number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts within the year have dropped sharply from 2–3 at the beginning of the year to just 0–1.

2026-04-16

Gate x Polymarket: Today’s Hottest Prediction Market Event Analysis

From the ceasefire between the US and Iran and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, to Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and broader macroeconomic trends, and even the 2026 World Cup and the US midterm elections, the most popular prediction markets on Polymarket span nearly every issue capturing global attention.

2026-04-16

Gate Polymarket : Saison des prévisions financières – échangez vos insights et partagez 10 000 $.

Gate Polymarket is launching a Financial Prediction Season, featuring popular topics such as stock market trends, commodities, IPOs, and interest rate decisions. Users can participate in market forecasts through prediction trading, and share in a 10,000 USDT prize pool via first trade rewards and trading volume leaderboard incentives.

2026-04-16

Polymarket (POLYMARKET) FAQ

What's the stock price of Polymarket (POLYMARKET) today?

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Polymarket (POLYMARKET) is currently trading at $0, with a 24h change of %0,00. The 52-week trading range is $0–$0.

What are the 52-week high and low prices for Polymarket (POLYMARKET)?

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What is the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of Polymarket (POLYMARKET)? What does it indicate?

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What is the market cap of Polymarket (POLYMARKET)?

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What is the most recent quarterly earnings per share (EPS) for Polymarket (POLYMARKET)?

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Risk Warning

The stock market involves a high level of risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may increase or decrease, and you may not recover the full amount invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Before making any investment decisions, you should carefully assess your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance, and conduct your own research. Where appropriate, consult an independent financial adviser.

Disclaimer

The content on this page is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. Gate shall not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting from such financial decisions. Further, take note that Gate may not be able to provide full service in certain markets and jurisdictions, including but not limited to the United States of America, Canada, Iran, and Cuba. For more information on Restricted Locations, please refer to the User Agreement.

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Polymarket (POLYMARKET) Latest News

2026-04-14 13:19

Polymarket reviews and weeds out early-stage projects in its ecosystem, targeting insider trading and market manipulation behaviors

Gate News message. On April 14, a report from The Information said that it predicts the market platform Polymarket will conduct an audit of certain startup projects that are integrating into its ecosystem. These projects were previously accused of identifying and distributing information about suspected insider-trading accounts, leading users to follow trades. The projects under review include Kreo (which focuses on a "feature to detect insider accounts in advance") and Polycool (which provides an "insider trading guide" service). By pushing users transaction data from suspicious accounts, these platforms have intensified market concerns about insider trading and manipulation. Polymarket's move indicates that it is strengthening compliance management for its platform ecosystem; earlier, the platform had already faced ongoing external scrutiny over potential insider-trading risks in prediction markets.

2026-04-14 02:01

Polymarket’s probability for “Israel launching strikes against Yemen before April 30” has fallen to 14%, down 32% over the past 24 hours

Gate News update. April 14, the probability on Polymarket that "Israel will strike Yemen before April 30" fell to 14%, down 32% within 24 hours. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio will hold talks today in Washington between Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors. The talks come amid an ongoing standoff between the two sides, focusing on the likelihood of a ceasefire, the disarmament of Hezbollah, and a long-term peace agreement. It is understood that after President Trump pressured to de-escalate the conflict, Netanyahu agreed to move forward with negotiations, and the U.S. has asked Israel to pause some military operations. With diplomatic efforts underway, market expectations that Israel would open a new front in Yemen cooled significantly.

2026-04-13 10:30

Polymarket high-win-rate account buys $58k in wagers betting on BLG to beat JDG

Gate News message. On April 13, monitoring data shows that in the Polymarket "League of Legends esports World Cup China qualifier second stage Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming" prediction event, an account with a win rate of over 77% (0x61ceb99e031a7460c96ebe9ac81a0a558f29ed13) bought about $58k in bets on Bilibili Gaming to win against JD Gaming, with an average opening price of about 92¢. This match is played in a BO3 format. Bilibili Gaming has been performing strongly in the LPL Spring Split Round 2 recently, with a current record of 2 wins and 0 losses (maps 4-1), including a 2:1 victory over JD Gaming. JD Gaming currently has a record of 1 win and 2 losses (maps 3-4), and its overall form is under relatively more pressure. The winner of this match will be in a position to contend for a top-two spot and advance to the esports World Cup main event stage.

2026-04-13 10:16

Polymarket’s fees over the past week reached $9.8 million, a record high

Gate News update, April 13, @defioasis data shows that Polymarket’s weekly platform fees reached $9.8 million over the past week, setting a new all-time high, with annualized fees exceeding $500 million. During the same period, on-chain prediction market fees first surpassed $10 million in a single week, with Polymarket accounting for 96.9% of the market share.

Hot Posts About Polymarket (POLYMARKET)

GateLaunch

GateLaunch

9 minutes ago
🚀 SpaceX IPO closing market value is trending hot on Polymarket, with a 48% probability of reaching $20 trillion, and trading volume surpassing $1.37 million 📈 Gate Pre-IPO launches SpaceX (SPCX) subscription in the first phase 🔹 Supports USDT or GUSD for subscription 🔹 VIP5+ and super agents can enjoy additional airdrop benefits Where do you think SpaceX IPO's closing market value will fall? Join the prediction now: https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes ⚠️ Before using Polymarket services, please assess the risks and whether it complies with local regulations based on your region.
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GateBlog

GateBlog

1 hours ago
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate path has long been a “barometer” for the crypto market—rate cuts release liquidity and push risk assets higher; rate hikes or maintaining tight policy suppress valuation expansion. Entering the second quarter of 2026, market expectations for the number of rate cuts have taken a sudden “about-face.” As of April 16, what signals do the two major forecasting platforms, CME FedWatch and Polymarket, actually send? ![](https://img-cdn.gateio.im/social/moments-f1baec12a28fa5c26f5435c53e01d00f) ## CME FedWatch: Zero probability of rate cuts before June According to the latest data from CME’s “Federal Reserve Watch” tool on April 16, the probability that the Federal Reserve holds rates steady in April is as high as 98.4%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is only 1.6%. More importantly, market pricing shows that the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut by June is 0%, the probability of holding rates steady is 98%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase actually rises to 2%. This means that before mid-year, traders have completely ruled out the possibility of rate cuts and have even started pricing in the “opposite option”—rate hikes. On a full-year basis, CME tools show that the market currently estimates the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by the end of 2026 at about 29%, down significantly from 40% a month earlier. The full-year rate cut outlook has been sharply compressed from 2 to 3 cuts down to no more than 1 cut, and the first rate-cut window has been pushed to after September. ## Polymarket: The “voting” results of the prediction market Polymarket is another important window for observing rate-cut expectations; it reflects the collective judgment of market participants through real-money bets. According to information published by the Gate platform, as of early April, Polymarket’s prediction market shows that the probability of 0 rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026 has surpassed 39%, surging 24% in the short term. The probability of 3 rate cuts is only 9%, down 28% in the short term. This set of data directly reflects that market confidence in rate cuts within the year is rapidly falling apart. Previously, in mid-March, bets on Polymarket showed that the probability of 1 rate cut (25 basis points) was 30%, the probability of no cuts was 23%, and the probability of 2 rate cuts (50 basis points) was 23%, with trading volume already exceeding $10.25 million. After the release of March CPI data and the continued escalation of the situation in the Middle East, rate-cut expectations further tilted toward “0 cuts.” ## Fed dot plot: a “rapid stop” from 3 cuts to 1 cut If prediction markets reflect traders’ short-term sentiment, then the Fed’s official dot plot represents the policy makers’ medium- to long-term baseline judgment. At the end of 2025, the median forecast of Fed officials was still 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2026 (about 3 cuts). But after the March 2026 FOMC meeting, the dot plot compressed this figure drastically to 25 basis points (just 1 cut), and even 4 committee members believed that rate cuts should not happen at all this year. The meeting voted 11:1 to keep the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%—3.75%, with only Governor Mylan supporting a 25-basis-point rate cut. ## The bull-bear game: 1 cut, 2 cuts, or 0 cuts? The minutes of the March 2026 FOMC meeting show that within the Federal Reserve, opinions on the interest rate path are sharply divided, with views on zero, one, or two rate cuts nearly evenly split. This division also exists among institutional analysts: - **The “one cut” camp:** Bai Xue, an analyst at Orient Securities, believes that, based on the March dot plot, Powell’s statements, and geopolitical conditions, there is a high likelihood of one rate cut in 2026, with the timing most likely to be at the September meeting. Yellen also believes there could be one rate cut later this year. - **The “two cuts” camp:** Bank of America maintains forecasts of 25 basis point rate cuts in September and October, totaling 50 basis points for the year, but concedes that “our forecast foundation is not solid, and the risks lean toward no rate cuts this year.” Goldman Sachs also maintains expectations for 25 basis point rate cuts in September and December. - **The “0 cuts, or even hikes” camp:** Goolsby, a former dovish official, stated that if oil prices remain high for the long term, rate cuts may be delayed until after 2027. Some traders have even started pricing in the possibility of rate hikes before the end of 2026. ## Why have rate-cut expectations cooled sharply? Two core variables drive the rapid drop in rate-cut expectations. First, **inflation rebounds**. The U.S. March CPI rose 3.3% year over year, sharply accelerating from 2.4% in February; it rose 0.9% month over month, the largest single-month increase since June 2022. The energy index surged 10.9% month over month, gasoline prices jumped 21.2%, and together these contributed nearly 70% of the overall CPI increase. Second, **employment remains resilient**. March non-farm payroll employment increased by 178,000, far exceeding the market expectation of 60,000, reaching the highest level since December 2024, and the unemployment rate fell back to 4.3%. A strong labor market provides the Federal Reserve with the confidence to “hold steady.” ## Potential impact on crypto assets For crypto investors, the evolution of rate-cut expectations means that the timing and pace of liquidity release are still unclear. As Gate platform analysis points out, the crypto market is also at a critical juncture—as of April 13, Bitcoin is $71,216.2, Ethereum is $2,203.29, and GT is $6.61. Against the double backdrop of macro rate uncertainty and wide volatility in crypto assets, investors can focus on the two categories in Gate’s financial product matrix—principal-protected and floating products—making flexible allocations according to their own risk preferences. ## Summary Combining CME FedWatch, Polymarket prediction markets, the Fed dot plot, and viewpoints from major institutions, as of April 16, 2026, market expectations for the number of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year have been sharply reduced from 2 to 3 times at the beginning of the year to 0 to 1 time. Polymarket data shows that the probability of “0 rate cuts” has surpassed 39%, while CME FedWatch shows that the probability of rate cuts before June is 0%. The key drivers behind the shift are the March inflation rebound and strong employment. Although some institutions (such as Bank of America and Goldman Sachs) still stick to forecasts of 1 to 2 rate cuts, there is a consensus that the risks are clearly skewed toward no rate cuts. The direction of the situation in the Middle East and future inflation data over the coming months will be key variables in determining the number of rate cuts. Investors should remain flexible and continue to monitor changes in macro data and market signals on the Gate platform.
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GateBlog

GateBlog

1 hours ago
In 2026, the most attention-grabbing narrative in the crypto world is shifting from "trading assets" to "trading events." As a leading global cryptocurrency exchange, Gate officially integrated with the world's largest decentralized prediction market, Polymarket, in March 2026, becoming the first centralized exchange (CEX) to incorporate the platform. This allows over 51 million Gate users to participate in global hot event predictions with a single click. ![](https://img-cdn.gateio.im/social/moments-6aafa809d066a27d432a6d4778b683c0) Prediction markets are becoming one of the most watched sectors in the crypto industry in 2026. According to data from Dune Analytics, the number of monthly users in prediction markets in March 2026 increased by 118% year-over-year, reaching 865,411 people, with nominal trading volume approaching $23.89 billion. More notably, on March 27, 2026, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, completed a $1.6 billion investment in Polymarket. Wall Street broker Bernstein further predicted that the trading volume of prediction markets could reach approximately $1 trillion by 2030. Gate’s integration precisely addresses the high entry barrier of Polymarket’s native platform, bringing three core advantages to over 51 million users: seamless access to funds—no need to manage mnemonic phrases or cross-chain bridges, directly use USDT from Gate spot accounts for prediction trading without extra gas fees; dual trading modes—prediction mode for quick onboarding by beginners, and trading mode offering order books, candlestick charts, and limit/market orders; simplified settlement mechanism—after event settlement, winning profits are automatically exchanged 1:1 into stablecoins and transferred to spot accounts. ## Prospects of US-Iran Ceasefire Face Disagreements On Polymarket, the market estimates a 28% probability that Trump will officially announce the end of the US-Iran two-week ceasefire before April 21, while the probability of an extended ceasefire is about 43%, indicating divergence signals. Previously, on-chain data showed that just hours before Trump announced the ceasefire agreement on April 7, at least 50 wallets placed large bets on “Yes” on Polymarket, with total bets exceeding $170 million, raising questions about insider trading. On April 8, the White House announced that Trump ordered a two-week pause on military actions against Iran, but negotiations failed to reach an agreement. Trump then announced that the Strait of Hormuz blockade would begin on April 14. Yesterday (April 14), five “Smart Money” accounts collectively bet $144.3k on Polymarket predicting that “the conflict between Iran and Israel/US will end before April 15,” with the current “Yes” probability at 73%. According to AInvest, the US-Iran ceasefire agreement was brokered by Pakistan to halt direct hostilities, but it has faced early challenges, with both sides accusing each other of breaches, and subsequent negotiations breaking down. On April 14, Trump ordered the US Navy to blockade the Strait of Hormuz in response to Iran’s ongoing control of this critical oil shipping route. This geopolitical uncertainty directly impacted financial markets—Bitcoin fell below $71,000 after the news, as risk aversion increased. Meanwhile, the Russia-Ukraine situation remains hot. Prediction markets on Polymarket continue to be active regarding “whether Russia and Ukraine can achieve a ceasefire before April 30, 2026.” An account that previously predicted Trump’s victory and profited $1.9 million has now bet $425k on a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine this year. ## Federal Reserve’s High-Interest Rate Expectations Strengthen According to CME FedWatch data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April is 99%, with only a 1% chance of a 25 basis point hike. On Polymarket, traders are betting about a 36% chance that the Fed will not cut rates throughout 2026. As the US-Iran conflict pushes oil prices above $110, market expectations for the Fed maintaining high interest rates are strengthening. Meanwhile, on Polymarket, the probability of the US economy entering recession within the year is about 53%, a recent high. A research report from Guojin Securities issued on April 13 states that the crypto market has been volatile this week due to international relations. The FedWatch pricing indicates a 97.9% chance of no rate change in April, and a 2.1% chance of a 25bp hike. The total crypto market cap is $2.44 trillion, up 6.1% from last week. Bitcoin closed at $72,979, up 10.1% week-over-week; Ethereum closed at $2,245, up 9.3%. The crypto fear and greed index this week is 45, in the “neutral” zone, showing a warmer sentiment compared to last week. On April 16, Bitcoin bulls maintained the upward trend, trading around $74,630. On Wednesday, Tether reportedly used 15% of quarterly profits to buy 951 BTC and transferred them to its treasury wallet. The CFTC is also investigating Trump’s oil trading activities prior to policy adjustments regarding Iran, indicating increasing regulatory attention on prediction market activities. ## 2026 World Cup Prediction Heat Rises As the 2026 World Cup approaches, trading activity in prediction markets continues to surge. As a CEX integrated with Polymarket, Gate platform data shows that in the “2026 World Cup Champion” prediction market, Spain, France, and England have probabilities of 15.4%, 14.7%, and 11.3%, respectively, reflecting a focus on traditional powerhouses amid uncertainty. Currently, users can directly access prediction markets via the Gate App, using assets in their exchange accounts to participate in event predictions with USDT, or on-chain via Web3 wallets on the Polygon network. According to prediction market analysis data, Kalshi prices Spain’s winning probability at 18.5%, Polymarket at 15.6%, with only a 2.5% difference, indicating broad consensus among traders rather than speculative noise. England, France, Argentina, and Brazil have lower winning probabilities than Spain. After winning the 2024 European Championship, Spain’s team has remained undefeated in 28 consecutive matches, with a deep roster and high competitive form, which is largely reflected in the market’s pricing. ## 2026 US Midterm Elections: Democratic Lead Widens Polymarket data shows that the Democratic Party’s probability of winning the House in the 2026 midterms has risen to 86%, and the Senate to 52%, with a 51% chance of sweeping control of both chambers. Another platform, Kalshi, estimates this at 47.1%. A year ago, the GOP had over an 80% chance of retaining the Senate. This shift occurred after Trump’s government launched military strikes against Iran in early March 2026. Recent polls show Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 36%, the lowest since returning to the White House. Latest news on April 16 indicates that the White House appears eager to push for resolution of disputes between the banking and crypto sectors, which have hindered Senate negotiations on crypto market regulation since January. As the US midterms approach, prediction markets are becoming a “collective intelligence system” for insights into political shifts. ## Structural Upgrades in Prediction Markets In April 2026, Polymarket announced major upgrades, including a complete overhaul of its trading engine and the launch of its native cryptocurrency, Polymarket USD. Data from DeFi Rate dashboard shows that from April 6 to 11, the total weekly trading volume on tracked platforms reached $6.5 billion, surpassing the previous record of $5.94 billion set during the frenzy of March. Polymarket contributed $2.48 billion, a 25.5% weekly increase, driven mainly by the US-Iran conflict markets and long-term positioning for the 2028 elections. More critically, the participant structure in prediction markets is undergoing a qualitative change. On Polymarket, the average trading size increased by 27.5% week-over-week to $110.77 per trade, while the number of trades remained roughly flat. This indicates that growth in trading volume is driven by larger positions rather than more participants—signaling that more mature capital is using these platforms as macro positioning tools rather than retail gambling. ## Summary With Gate’s official integration with Polymarket, prediction markets are rapidly becoming mainstream. From US-Iran ceasefire and Middle East geopolitical conflicts, to Fed rate decisions and macroeconomic trends, to the 2026 World Cup and US midterm elections, hot prediction events on Polymarket cover nearly every corner of global attention. Gate’s seamless fund account access, dual trading modes, and simplified settlement mechanism enable over 51 million users to participate in event predictions with a single click, lowering participation barriers to the level of spot trading. The structural upgrade of prediction markets and the rising quality of participants suggest that this sector has grown from a fringe crypto game into a “super app” for insights into global developments. For anyone interested in the evolution of world events and the crypto industry, Gate x Polymarket offers an unprecedented window for participation and information advantage.
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