XRP Price Prediction: Testing the key support at $1.92, with a risk of dropping below $1 despite ETF capital inflows

XRP is at a critical technical juncture, with the price testing the important support level of $1.92. Analysts warn that once this support is broken, there is a possibility that the price could further decline towards $1 in the short term. Nevertheless, ongoing capital inflows into XRP-related ETFs keep the market highly attentive to its subsequent movements.

As of December 16, 2025, XRP is trading around $1.88, down approximately 7% in 24 hours. The price has fallen below the 20-month moving average near $1.93, which is often regarded as an important indicator of long-term trend direction. Historically, XRP has found support in this region multiple times, making the current pullback a critical test.

Market analyst Ali Charts points out that XRP must hold above $1.92 to avoid deeper declines, with the worst-case scenario potentially seeing a retreat to the $1 range. However, this assessment emphasizes short-term risks and should be considered alongside the overall market environment and historical structural analysis.

It is noteworthy that institutional funds have not completely withdrawn. Data shows that on December 15, the US-listed XRP spot ETF recorded a single-day net inflow of approximately $10.89 million, marking 19 consecutive trading days of net inflows. Analysts believe that even if the price remains under pressure, ETF capital inflows reflect ongoing medium- and long-term strategic positioning by some institutions. However, it should be clarified that ETF size constitutes a limited portion of XRP’s overall market, and capital inflows do not necessarily equate to an inevitable price increase.

From a technical perspective, TradingView analysts believe XRP has fallen into the demand zone of $1.88–$1.95, with initial support signs appearing on the 4-hour chart. If the price can stabilize, short-term targets could be $1.95 or even $2.48; but if it breaks below $1.80, it would indicate a breakdown of the bullish structure, with downside risks significantly increasing.

Overall, XRP has declined over 40% from its mid-2025 high, and market sentiment remains complex. Short-term traders focus on accumulation opportunities below $2, while medium- and long-term investors continue to evaluate macroeconomic conditions, Bitcoin trends, and regulatory developments between Ripple and the SEC.

In summary, $1.92 is the key short-term threshold for XRP. Holding this level leaves room for a rebound; persistent loss of this support warrants caution against deeper corrections. Investors should consider technical indicators, capital flow trends, and policy variables to adopt a more cautious, data-driven trading and allocation strategy.