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Geopolitical tensions have again triggered significant Fluctuation in the Crypto Assets market. Following news that the United States may take military action against Iran, the price of Bitcoin has seen a noticeable decline, but the long-term trend remains influenced by multiple factors and still presents various possibilities. Firstly, from historical experience, Bitcoin often exhibits the trend characteristics of "first falling and then rising" after geopolitical crises. Looking back at the 2020 US-Iran conflict, Bitcoin rebounded after an initial decline due to the Federal Reserve's implementation of loose monetary policies; during the 2025 Israel-Iran conflict, although Bitcoin's price briefly fell below $103,000, it quickly recovered, indicating that market panic selling is usually corrected by policy expectations or safe-haven demand. Secondly, institutional funds have become a key force in stabilizing the Bitcoin market. Currently, net inflows into spot ETFs have exceeded $46 billion, with financial giants like BlackRock continuously increasing their holdings, while approximately $3 billion in over-the-counter transactions provides important liquidity support to the market. Some financial institutions even predict that by the end of 2025, the price of Bitcoin may reach $200,000, a bullish expectation primarily based on the scarcity brought about by Bitcoin's halving mechanism and the potential improvement in the global macroeconomic environment. Third, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is a core variable affecting Bitcoin prices. Currently, the Federal Reserve is maintaining interest rates, but there is divergence in the market regarding the timing of rate cuts. A high interest rate environment suppresses investors' risk appetite, but if geopolitical conflicts trigger concerns about economic recession, it may prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates earlier, which would support Bitcoin. In addition, trade tariff policies may raise inflation levels, thereby affecting the direction of monetary policy. From a technical perspective and market sentiment, Bitcoin's key support levels are at $101,000 and $75,000, with resistance ranging from $96,000 to $109,000. Currently, market sentiment is in a "greed" state (fear index 71), but geopolitical risks could trigger a pullback. The technical indicator RSI shows that there is short-term overbought conditions, which may lead to a technical adjustment. If Iran takes strong countermeasures, such as blocking the Strait of Hormuz, global oil prices may rise sharply, increasing economic uncertainty, and Bitcoin may face pressure in the short term. However, in the long run, Bitcoin's anti-inflation characteristics may attract safe-haven funds. Historical data shows that in similar crises, Bitcoin prices often rise due to inflation expectations. Overall, geopolitical conflicts may lead to short-term fluctuations in Bitcoin, but are unlikely to change its long-term development logic. If the conflict escalates further, the price of Bitcoin may drop first and then rise, with institutional buying and policy adjustments becoming key factors for market rebound. In the long term, the duration of the conflict, the direction of Federal Reserve policy, and the level of institutional capital participation will together determine the price trend of Bitcoin. Investors should closely monitor the situation's development and adjust their investment strategies according to their individual risk tolerance. Against the backdrop of global geopolitical turmoil, whether Bitcoin can truly become a safe-haven asset in the digital age still requires further market testing.

Mr. Caneleo55 doing his usual things 😎🫡 I was doing my casual onchain snooping and found this 👇 2 Tokens where created on Ethereum mainnet 1. $dNEWT Delegated NEWT 2. $sNEWT Staked NEWT ,

Today I suffered a loss of 70u in a trade, which made me deeply reflect on my trading strategy. When I looked at the BR data in the morning, I should have been more alert than a fluke. I've accumulated enough points to last the next two days, so I've decided to quit for the time being. The biggest takeaway from this experience is that when trading, we must pay close attention to whether the tick chart presents an abnormal straight state. If you find a quilt cover, you must quickly adjust your strategy to get in and out quickly. At the moment I have accumulated 260 points, and with the addition of today's gains, the total number of points brings to 258. Although there was some gain, in order to avoid greater risks, I decided to suspend my trading activities and not continue. Every market participation should be based on rational analysis rather than luck, and being willing to gamble and lose is also a must-have mentality in investment.

Currently, the price of Bitcoin is fluctuating continuously within the range of 106000-103300, and this trend characteristic is expected to continue in the short term. Today's market trading strategy remains unchanged, and it is advisable to gradually establish short orders when the price rebounds to the range of 105300-105800, with an initial target range of 104300-104000. When the price retraces to around 104300-104000, a long order strategy can be adopted, with a target price range of 105600-106000. If the price can effectively break through the 106000 resistance level, it is expected to further rise to the 108000 level. This kind of range-bound market requires investors to remain patient and strictly adhere to stop-loss and take-profit disciplines, flexibly adjusting strategies based on price performance in key ranges. Short-term traders, in particular, should pay attention to controlling their positions to avoid excessive trading in a volatile market that leads to capital loss.