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#BTC# Let’s examine the BTC/USDT chart. General Impression: The chart shows that BTC/USDT is currently trading at 105,542.7 USDT, showing a slight increase of 0.98% over the period shown. The price has fluctuated significantly, reaching highs around 111,980.0 and lows around 95,795.3. Key Data Points and Indicators: * Current Price: 105,542.7 USDT * 24-Hour Change: +0.98% * 24-Hour High: 106,123.2 * 24-Hour Low: 104,310.0 * 24-Hour Volume (BTC): 3.14M * 24-Hour Volume (USDT): 329.97M Moving Averages (MA): * MA5: 106,272.0 (Red line) - This is a short-term bearish signal if the price is above the current price, below the current price. * MA10: 106,748.6 (Yellow line) - Above the current price. * MA30: 106,810.2 (Purple line) - Above the current price. The fact that all three moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA30) are above the current price of 105,542.7 suggests that the short-term and medium-term trend may be bearish or consolidating downwards. The price has recently broken below these moving averages. Candlesticks and Price Action: * Recent Trend: Looking at the candlesticks since May 31, BTC is in a general downtrend and has broken below previous support levels. * Current Candlestick: The most recent candlestick is red (bearish), indicating selling pressure. It is trading below the MA lines. * "S" and "B" Signals: The chart has "S" (Sell) and "B" (Buy) signals corresponding to local tops and bottoms. The recent presence of more "S" signals reinforces the recent downtrend. Volume: * Volume has been volatile. There have been periods of higher volume during significant price movements (for example, around May 18 and early June). Recently, volume has been moderate to low. In a downtrend, decreasing volume can sometimes indicate weakening selling pressure, but it is not a strong reversal signal on its own. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): * MACD(12,26,9): -356.5 * DIF: 752.6 * DEA: 1,109.2 The MACD reading is negative (-356.5) and the DIF (MACD line) is below the DEA (Signal line) (752.6 < 1,109.2). This is often interpreted as a bearish signal and indicates that momentum is to the downside. Conclusion/Summary of Analysis: According to the given chart: * Current Situation: BTC is trading around 105,542.7, having experienced a significant decline from higher levels. * Trend: The short to medium term trend appears to be bearish, with the price trading below the three moving averages shown (MA5, MA10, MA30) and the MACD crossing into a bearish crossover. * Momentum: Momentum is currently to the downside. * Support/Resistance: Although not explicitly drawn, 105,542.7 appears to be a current point of contention. If price continues to decline, previous lows around 100,500-101,000 could act as potential support. Resistance would be at the moving average levels and previous highs.

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Today's Bitcoin market performance shows typical weekend characteristics, fluctuating within a range throughout the day. In the morning to noon phase, the price first touched around 106,100 dollars, then fell back to the 104,800 dollar area, and then rebounded to around 105,800 dollars, forming a distinct "N" shaped fluctuation pattern. Meanwhile, Ethereum fluctuated slightly within a narrow range of $2555 to $2505 in the afternoon to evening period. In the short term, Bitcoin may continue to fluctuate and consolidate around $105,000 - $106,500, with support targets at $103,500; while Ethereum is expected to hover in the $2,500 - $2,550 range, and if it breaks below support, it may test the $2,450 level. The market is exhibiting the typical low trading volume and limited fluctuation range of the weekend, and investors should closely monitor the performance of key support levels to prepare for next week's market trends.

The path of trading in the crypto world relies fundamentally on a stable mindset. In this highly fluctuating market, it is particularly important to maintain calm thinking and strictly control trading behavior. Many investors fail not because of a big dump in the market, but due to making mistakes out of excessive optimism when the market shows signs of recovery. Let's analyze a few common loss mindset patterns together. Typical psychological characteristics of losers First, there is the tendency for emotional trading: when the market falls, there is pessimism and disappointment; even a slight rebound leads to a full-scale entry, with emotions dominating reason, turning the account into a place for emotional release. Secondly, there is the stubborn holding mentality: starting from a small floating loss, unwilling to cut losses in time, allowing losses to expand to ten times or even more, always harboring unrealistic fantasies of price reversal, ultimately leading to mental breakdown. The third is the tendency to take excessive risks: pursuing excitement by choosing extremely high leverage, not realizing that even a slight fluctuation in the market can lead to the loss of all funds. The Key Strategies of Successful Traders Professional traders make good use of trend confirmation techniques: by judging the slope of the 4-hour EMA21 indicator, only considering long trades when the angle is greater than 30 degrees, effectively avoiding false breakout traps. They pay more attention to the implied signals in the MACD indicator: not solely relying on golden crosses and death crosses, but rather analyzing changes in the histogram, especially the signal of the first turn red after a continuous decrease in volume. According to the data, this can improve entry accuracy by 37%. A three-dimensional stop-loss system has been established in terms of risk control: setting a 1.5% capital stop-loss line as a bottom-line protection; paying attention to whether the price falls below previous lows to determine structural changes; meanwhile, a 90-minute time window is set, and if there is no profit, a proactive exit will be taken. Capital Management and Compound Interest Strategy In a clear monthly level breakout market, successful traders adopt a gradual position building strategy: initially using only 3% of the funds and strictly setting stop-losses, increasing the position to 7% after achieving a 5% profit, and as the trend accelerates, reducing the position by 1/3 to lock in profits with every 3% increase. Market conditions to be wary of Trading should be avoided in two situations: first, within 24 hours before the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, as the risk of a black swan event is concentrated at this time; second, when there is a gap greater than 3% in CME futures, which is often a trap area for market manipulation. Success in the crypto world relies not only on technical analysis but also on the perfect combination of technology, a sense of timing, and position management. While ordinary investors are still struggling with trading decisions, traders with clear strategies have already made profits and exited safely. A precise strategy system can bring long-term stable returns much more effectively than simple candlestick analysis.