TonyTheBull

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In all instances, Bitcoin has never meaningfully reclaimed the 6W Kijun-Sen (Base Line on the Ichimoku) once it was lost, until at minimum 16 bars (96 weeks) have passed
It is currently bar number 2 (12 weeks)
BTC0,33%
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Just a reminder for Bitcoiners that Saylor wiped it all out to the tune of -99.87% and was the "biggest loser" of the dot com bubble
But yeah, his buying BTC up here means the bottom is in according to all of my comments
BTC0,33%
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Here is some math that never misses – the 1.618 Fibonacci extension
Every Bitcoin bear market bottom target – is this time different?
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Russell 2000 made a new ATH, so this MUST mean that it is time for altcoin season, right?
The Correlation Coefficient doesn't just show how strong or weak a positive or negative correlation is, it shows the direction of the relationship
At the moment, the correlation between these two assets is negative for the first time since July 2016 and the negative correlation is beginning to strengthen
The indicator can curl back up from here, but at the moment it is pointed sharply down
Past correlations mean nothing in a new environment. Simply comparing past breakouts won't work, when the previously
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Goodbye?
or
Good buy?
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Altcoins (TOTAL3ES) vs Bitcoin
10 days for altcoins to bring the bullish momentum or this bearish crossover of the LMACD will confirm on the monthly
BTC0,33%
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Inverted TOTAL3ESBTC
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Bitcoin 2W PPO Percentile Rank suggests that we haven't seen a bottom yet in BTC
BTC0,33%
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Time to moon? 🌕
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One more leg of Bitcoin season?
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Slice users just got an extensive educational editorial on Hurst Cycle Theory
It covers how to phase out cycles, the 8 Principles of Hurst Cycle Theory, the importance of VTLs and FLDs, and much more
Link if bi0
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My Slice subs asked for me to publish this chart on TradingView so they could watch it develop
Now that it's public, I'll share it here
If Bitcoin does rally, I suspect this is what we get as we still head towards an October 2026 bottom at or around $34,000
BTC0,33%
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Is this a long or short?
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Another perspective suggesting patience is required, even if misdirection has arrived
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Assets, including Bitcoin, tend to go through accumulation at cyclical bottoms
It would be an anomaly for Bitcoin to bounce after such a short period of time at range lows
Patience is paramount
BTC0,33%
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Another perspective suggesting patience is required, even is misdirection has arrived
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Took some time away to reset and rest
Video dropping on Slice in ~one hour
Bitcoin - S&P 500 - Silver - BTC.D
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Listen
If Bitcoin / crypto suddenly is viewed by the world as the non-sovereign play…
That is a powerful enough narrative to potentially change my longer term bearish thesis
At the center of my bearish thesis is a simple Doji candlestick on the yearly chart — a pause due to indecision
Indecision can lead to a reversal of trend, or strong continuation of the trend that paused
After indecision comes decisiveness — whatever direction the next narrative takes us, will be defining
I have said all along if a new narrative worthy enough appears, it will replace the narratives I am saying are dead:
BTC0,33%
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“In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity.”
— Sun Tzu
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Not that this can't turn into much much more upside, the fact that trolls are acting this celebratory over a 4.5% intraday move, is rather interesting
It is an extremely common movement
Also, pay attention to the figures. Volatility decreased over time and has been picking up again as the trend may have changed
Upside volatity became less interesting
Perhaps downside volatity resparks some interest in BTC
BTC0,33%
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