TonyTheBull

It can’t be this obvious, can it?

Bait
Now I wait

Litecoin versus Iranian Rial

Bitcoin versus Iranian Rial

Bitcoin’s weekly Kumo (cloud) just twisted red
Bitcoin typically bottoms AFTER the bearish Kumo twist time-wise at ~-68% below the twist itself
The Ichimoku projects the Kumo 26 periods ahead — this means we are over 150 days away from price reaching the twist time-wise
Roughly five months minimum is likely required for this to properly unwind. Price target would be $33K if the same -68% below the twist happened again for a total 73% bear market drawdown
Bitcoin bear markets have shown gradual drawdown compression:
−93% → −86% → −84% → −77%
A simple ~5% linear decay from the last cycle points

October 2023 “A Flight to Quality”
$1923 & $22 / oz

Same average, different environment

Silver could keep trending against Bitcoin

The last time Bitcoin's daily RSI was this high it was above $120K, days before the October 10th flash crash

Hope is the trap
Belief is the bait

Left: Bitcoin 2022 bottom 1M Morning Star and resulting bull market
Right: Inverse BTCUSD 3M Evening Star — what comes next?
How does this view and comparison challenge your existing beliefs?

Fibonacci in Music 🌀🎵
Most traders are aware of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level
But did you know that musicians often utilize this key Fibonacci ratio in music production?
It is often when the beat drops, tempo builds, or the hook changes the flow of the song up just enough to boost interest
My top 2025 track was “before we say goodbye” by Artemas — it features deep, dark, heavy bass vibrations
The song is 2 minutes and 27 seconds long
Multiply this song length by 0.618, and you get 1 minute and 40 seconds
If you listen to the track, as 1:40 approaches, the beat fades, the hook begin

100% ROI handed to Slice subscribers on a *Silver* platter
Link in profile

How did Bitcoin’s 4 year cycle break?
It was as accurate as it always was
Actual cycle length is 3.87 years, but still beating to the same rhythm

The “business cycle” narrative in Bitcoin/crypto is the new M2 chart
Over a year ago, I cautioned against the clear cherry-picky of a visual correlation that ignored reality and confirmed biases
Try and recall which accounts were ready to live and die by this meaningless, temporary correlation in M2 and realize they’re the same ones clinging onto the business cycle turning up from here
ISM/PMI is due for a cyclical trough next now that it’s past peak cycle amplitude — you can’t just point to it rising because your portfolio and your bullish reputation rides on it
A cyclical lower low is very