MisterSpread

How do markets move?
In a bullmarket price goes only up? No, we have pullbacks, consolidation and after prices resumes the uptrend.
So in a bearmarket you expect for price to go only down? Or we can have consolidation and bounces before the prices resumes the downtrend?
Let price lead, not emotions or noise and stay frosty!

Oh boy, here we go again - Bitcoin
Ladies and gents, fellow crypto enthusiasts, can we keep our cool a bit?
$BTC fell more than 50% and had 5 red monthly candles, so the current bounce is normal, natural, and expected.
On a closer look, the chart and levels I've shared since early February are still there and nothing has changed.
For the last four weeks, we have been in a range, and now we are testing again the upper boundary of the same range.
The timeline is already filled with bottom calls, ATHs, and all that, so here I am with the reminder that we are still in a bear market and in a downtr

Since last Friday
$VIX +37%
$DXY +1.80%
$NIKKEI -9.8%
$DAX -7.1%
Guess my VIX longs from last week (1st ones in 4 years) look pretty nice now.
Let's see how U.S markets open & what type of reaction we get on Bitcoin & alts, popcorn ready 🍿

If Iran retaliates, here’s how this can escalate:
Because I love history and since a kid I was passionate about war history, be it from SunTzu, Clausewitz, Napoleon or Barca, here is what I think can be next retaliation steps from Iran:
1. Retaliation Against Regional U.S. Assets:
This might have already started (saw some news that sirens are going off at U.S naval base in Bahrain), so I would watch the ones in Qatar, Kuwait, etc
2. Strait of Hormuz:
Iran can seek to mine waterways or attack tankers/naval assets + interfere with international shipping
3. Proxy networks:
Iran may choose indirec

Why do you trade?
When I first started trading many years ago, I thought “making it” meant luxury cars, expensive watches and flashy lifestyle.
Now?
It means sitting on the floor on a random Wednesday morning playing with my 7-month-old son.
That’s my “why”, that’s wealth.

Building a $VIX position.
For the first time in a long while, I’m gradually building a long VIX exposure.
U.S indices are showing fatigue and I see upside momentum is compressing.
Volatility is still relatively contained versus the macro and geopolitical backdrop.
With rising tensions in Iran and broader global instability, I see asymmetric upside in volatility if liquidity tightens or risk reprices.
P.S: not a headline trade, it’s a convex hedge build while vol is still reasonably priced.
To be continued.

So? How's that $Gold shorting going?
At this speed we might have a new ATH by the morning.
This is still one of the strongest weekly trends Im currently tracking all markets. 👀

Genuine question:
Why are so many people angry and sad in a bearmarket?
We get to buy Bitcoin cheaper for a while, isn’t that the long term goal?

How it feels to follow Price and Flows on Bitcoin, while the majority of people try to time tops or bottoms.
You nailed the absolute top? GG, you are better than me.
You will nail the absolute bottom? GG, you are better than me.
I will be a happy trend-rider with the move in between🫡

Potential Distribution & H&S on $NVDA ?
For a long time, one of the biggest pillars and rally fuels of the U.S indices was @NVIDIA.
With the earnings coming up next Monday, I can't help but wonder if we will see this topping pattern unfolding.
Confirmation: close under $165 & continuation under $150 area
Target: $120
Thoughts?

Bitcoin 2022 vs 2026
It’s happening 👀