CyrilDeFi

BTC holding the macro trendline support around $68K
That line has caught every major low since 2023
EMA 200 is at $83K and sloping down hard
Until BTC reclaims $83K this is still a range
Support: $68K
Resistance: $76K
Not breaking down but not breaking out either
Patience is the trade right now

SEI still grinding the bottom of this demand zone
No reversal structure yet
EMA 200 at $0.1246 is so far above price it is not
even a conversation right now
The only thing keeping this interesting is that
it has stopped making new lows
Base building or dead cat
Volume will tell us which one

TAO got hit hard today
Down 7% and pulling back toward the EMA 200 at $276
That level is the line in the sand
TAO reclaimed the EMA 200 a few weeks ago and it
immediately became support
If $276 holds this is just a healthy pullback
If it loses $276 the $240 demand zone comes back into play
Watching closely

$RENDER - $2.02
Price is kissing the EMA 200 at $2.10 from below right now.
This is the exact level I have been watching for weeks.
A clean daily close above $2.10 with volume changes the structure entirely.
First real target above that is the $4.00 resistance zone.
Fail to break it and we range. Simple as that.
Volume picked up in March and held. That is the one thing keeping me interested here.

$TAO - $322.9
This is the cleanest structure of the three.
TAO bounced hard from the $190–$240 demand zone and already reclaimed the EMA 200 at $276.
Price is now holding above $276 and consolidating around $320.
As long as $276 holds as support, the path to $400 and beyond stays open.
TAO is the one I am most comfortable with right now. Structure says higher.

$SEI - $0.0547
This one is painful to look at honestly.
Price is sitting at the bottom of the demand zone between $0.05 and $0.10, and the EMA 200 is all the way up at $0.1253.
That is a 130% gap between price and the 200 EMA.
No sign of reversal structure yet. Until SEI can reclaim $0.10, I am not touching it.
Only play here is a base building situation where it grinds quietly before anyone notices.

EVERY STOCK ON THE BOARD IS RED RIGHT NOW.
Not one or two.
EVERY SINGLE ONE.
Apple down 2.86%.
Lilly down 2.89%.
Tesla down 1.89%.
Microsoft. JPMorgan. Walmart. Johnson and Johnson.
ALL RED.
This is not a sector rotation.
This is not profit taking.
This is the entire market pricing in something much bigger simultaneously.
When oil crashes 4% AND every major stock bleeds at the same time on the same day you are not looking at normal volatility.
You are looking at a macro event unfolding in real time.
The market is telling you something very clearly right now.
The question is whether you are lis

$TAO
TAO at $334 and this is the chart I have been most confident about for weeks and it keeps proving me right.
Price is pushing higher again with solid volume at 244K and the EMA 200 at $275 is now firmly acting as support below.
The $379 high from last week is the next target and I see no reason why we do not retest it.
Still the most bullish I have been on any single asset this cycle and nothing changes that view today.

OIL JUST CRASHED 4% IN A SINGLE CANDLE.
That chart is not a typo.
WTI Crude went from $98 to $94.75 almost vertically.
Here is why this matters way beyond the oil market.
When oil drops this fast this suddenly it is not a supply story.
It is a DEMAND story.
The market is pricing in a global economic slowdown in real time.
Less economic activity means less energy consumption means lower oil prices.
And when the world's most important commodity starts pricing in recession the rest of the market tends to follow.
Crypto included.
This is the kind of macro move that quietly explains why BTC cannot

$RENDER
RENDER at $1.884 with volume spiking to 725.93K which is the biggest volume day I have seen on this chart in a long time.
The EMA 200 at $2.103 is right there and this volume makes me think the break above $2.00 could actually happen this time.
I have been waiting for this setup for months.
If it closes above $2.00 today with this volume behind it I am interested for the first time in a long time.

$SEI
SEI at $0.0530 and this chart shows no signs of life whatsoever.
EMA 200 at $0.1267 is more than double the current price which tells you everything you need to know about where we are structurally.
Volume today spiked to 78.77M which is actually the most interesting thing on this chart in weeks.
Not touching this until $0.10 breaks with conviction but that volume spike is worth watching.

$TAO
TAO holding at $311 and the EMA 200 at $274.9 continues to act as support below price.
Small red candle but volume at 240K is still healthy which tells me the structure is intact.
This is still the cleanest chart I am watching in this entire market right now.
$290 is my line in the sand and above that I remain fully convicted.

$BTC
$69,109 and back above $68K which is at least something.
The macro trendline is still right underneath and three touches have held so far.
But the $72K to $76K resistance zone keeps rejecting every rally attempt.
Nothing structurally has changed for me.
Still watching. Not chasing.

$TAO
Holding at $308 and the structure is still the cleanest in my watchlist.
Small red day but nothing that concerns me at all.
$290 is the level I watch on any pullback. Above that I am not worried.
Still the most bullish I have been on any single asset this cycle.

$ETH
$2,123 and finally showing a little life with a 0.62% green candle.
But one green candle does not change the structure.
EMA 200 at $2,699 is still a completely different chart from where price is.
The $1,800 macro trendline below is still the last real floor and it is too close for comfort.
Need $2,200 closed and held before my view changes.