Bit_Bull
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The Fed has started to buy T-bills.
Trump is preparing to introduce large tax breaks for corporations and individuals.
OG whale is $620+ million long on ETH, BTC and SOL.
The Treasury is injecting $50B-$70B each week from the TGA release.
Bitcoin spot taker CVD has flipped "buy dominant" for the first time in 5 months.
Some strong signs are emerging for the crypto market here.
It would be interesting to see the BOJ interest rate decision from here.
Once the uncertainty is over, the crypto market could begin the rally.
ETH1.08%
BTC-0.01%
SOL0.51%
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This is the most crucial level for Bitcoin.
If BTC breaks above $94K level with strong volume, $100K is just a matter of time.
As long as BTC is trading below the $94K level, the chances of a new low are high.
BTC-0.01%
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It's very tough to be bearish going into 2026.
And there are reasons behind it.
First of all, Trump clearly said that he wants to see interest rates towards 1% in 2026.
He is also selecting a Fed chair soon, which will consult him on interest rate decisions.
Apart from, the odds of a dividend cheque distribution is 50% in 2026.
The Fed has also started T-bills buying, and they won't stop now.
Mid-term elections are coming next year, and a bullish market is always a good sign.
This means the current administration will do everything possible to pump the markets.
This will make the bubble bigger
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Everyone thinks DATs stopped buying Bitcoin. They didn’t.
They just stopped buying loudly.
This chart shows how companies are still adding BTC to their balance sheets, even though the price has been volatile.
The buying is smaller than late 2024.
But it hasn’t disappeared.
Earlier, a few big names were buying aggressively.
Now, the buying is spread across miners, tech firms, and financial companies.
That matters.
It means Bitcoin is not being treated like a quick trade anymore.
It’s being treated like a long-term asset.
Miners are holding instead of selling everything.
Tech companies are keepi
BTC-0.01%
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Russell 2000 has hit a new ATH.
The last 2 times this happened, Others/BTC bottomed out and started rallying.
Will this happen again?
BTC-0.01%
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Options Expiry Alert 🚨
$4.317 billion in BTC and ETH options expire today.
$3.541 billion worth of BTC options with a max pain at $90,000 expire today.
$776 million worth of ETH options with a max pain at $3,100 expire today.
Expect high volatility and big price movements.
BTC-0.01%
ETH1.08%
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🚨 ETH Spot ETFs are finally showing early signs of a turnaround.
After weeks of almost nonstop outflows, the latest data now shows modest net inflows coming back into US ETH Spot ETFs.
It’s still small and not a clear trend yet, but it does mean one important thing:
➡️ Redemption pressure is easing.
When ETFs stop bleeding and start pulling in even a little fresh capital, it usually tells you that forced selling and de risking are slowing down.
If these inflows continue and move firmly into positive territory over the next few weeks, it would be a clear signal that demand for ETH exposure thr
ETH1.08%
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$BTC Power-of-3 pattern is still in play.
As long as BTC holds the above $78K, the long-term structure will remain bullish.
A weekly close below the $78,000 will be a sign that we are entering a long bear market.
BTC-0.01%
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$ASTER buybacks have accelerated now.
@Aster_DEX is now doing $4M in daily buybacks, which will continue for 7-8 days.
After that, the team will start using 50%-80% of fees to buyback ASTER.
If BTC shows bullish momentum, ASTER could pull another 30%-40% rally this month.
ASTER2.77%
BTC-0.01%
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SOLANA’S LIQUIDITY JUST FELL BACK TO BEAR MARKET LEVELS
And almost nobody is talking about it.
The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio (30-day SMA) is one of the cleanest ways to understand liquidity on-chain.
When the ratio is above 1, more holders are locking in profits and liquidity expands.
When it drops below 1, realized losses become larger than realized profits, meaning liquidity contracts.
For Solana, this ratio has been below 1 since mid November, and it has stayed there consistently.
That tells us two simple things:
• More people are selling at a loss than taking profit
• Liquidity condition
SOL0.51%
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Russell 2000 Index made a new ATH yesterday.
This means, BTC and alts may not be done for this cycle.
Study 2020-21 cycle and you'll understand.
BTC-0.01%
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Fed is about to begin stealth QE.
CZ is hinting towards a crypto supercycle.
Large institutions are offering Bitcoin and crypto trading.
Clarity Act is expected to be approved soon.
BlackRock CEO is saying that sovereign funds are buying BTC now.
You can be bearish on the crypto market in the short-term, but I think 2026 is going to be really good for markets.
BTC-0.01%
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Tomorrow’s Fed decision is all about tone, not the rate cut.
A 25bps cut is already priced in, the real move comes from what Powell says about liquidity.
If he hints at support → yields drop → crypto reacts fast.
If he stays hawkish → we get another October style dump.
Biggest volatility day of the month coming.
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$ETH / $BTC looks ready to move higher.
First time breakout, then the retest and now it's moving higher.
This is a classic bullish move which often starts a strong uptrend.
ETH1.08%
BTC-0.01%
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Someone turned $716 into $214,000 in just one week by holding memecoin.
And such things are a good sign.
In the past, any major crypto recovery has started with memes taking the lead.
If you see memes outperforming for a few weeks, understand that the worst is behind us.
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The chatter around Fed resuming QT is heating up.
And this is due to obvious reasons.
First of all, bond yields are moving higher despite rate cuts.
This is a sign that the market believes Fed can't control inflation.
Additionally, Labor market and consumer sentiment is at its worst level since 2020 pandemic.
This is another sign that the Fed has tightened too much.
The only way now is to add some reserves to control the rising bond yields.
This is why the market expects $40B-$45B in bond buying per month from Jan 2026.
If bond yields are still not in control, the Fed will have to ramp up QE.
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All of a sudden $ETH has started to look good.
A bullish inverse head and shoulder pattern.
ETH/BTC strong close above 50W EMA level.
Big bets of $6K-$6.5K ETH on Deribit.
Big whales opening massive long positions.
This indicates that smart money believes ETH will outperform BTC from here.
If this really happens, it'll be bullish for both ETH and alts.
ETH1.08%
BTC-0.01%
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Major Events This Week:
1. 9th December: September JOLTS Job Openings data
2. 10th December: Fed Interest Rate Decision and Powell's press conference
3. 11th December: OPEC Monthly Report, Initial Jobless Claims, PPI and Core PPI data
4. 11th December: US 30Y Bond Auction
5. 12th December: Fed balance sheet release and Fed governors speech
Keep an eye on these.
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$BNB pulled a clean 2x after breaking out of its 4-year consolidation.
Now, it's coming lower and probably flip its resistance into support.
If this support level holds, I can see BNB rallying towards 4-digits again.
BNB1.82%
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Bitcoin DATs demand has evaporated.
It's now at its lowest level since Q3 2024.
Also, most of the DATs are down 70%-90% from their ATH, which means they don't have much buying power left.
This really needs to change for a sustained rally in Bitcoin.
BTC-0.01%
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