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#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Ethereum's trend is relatively strong. Although its short-term movement is influenced by BTC, if Bitcoin plunges, Ethereum won't be able to remain unaffected. Here, we need to closely monitor Bitcoin's trend.
2️⃣ Capital Flows & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics
- Capital Flows (short-term divergence): ETF funds have seen short-term outflows. As of the week ending December 6, US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a net outflow of $65.4 million. This contrasts with inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, indicating that some short-term funds are reallocati
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: With the interest rate decision imminent, the current downside risk is significant. Be mindful of rapid price swings before Thursday. Beware of getting wiped out in a choppy market. If the price reaches 85,000-86,000 before the interest rate decision, I actually think the market risk will decrease.
2️⃣ Capital Flows & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics
Capital Flows: Mid- to long-term capital signals remain positive. Despite the short-term price drop, capital flows show institutions are still positioning. As of the week ending December 6, digita
BTC3.72%
ETH5.75%
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#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation
Although there is a need for a rebound at present, we can still consider not acting on this rebound. Unless there is a clear signal of a counterattack on the 4-hour chart, we regard all rebounds as bull traps.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics
On-chain Data (Core Bullish Factor): Exchange reserves hit a historic low. Data shows ETH reserves on centralized exchanges account for only about 8.7% of total supply, the lowest level since the network launched in 2015. This indicates ETH is being withdrawn from exchanges on a large sc
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Bitcoin is in a “post-crash consolidation phase.” After last week's “roller coaster” action, the price is consolidating above the key psychological 90,000 level.
2️⃣ Capital Flows & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics (the market’s “sentiment thermometer”): The market is still digesting leverage. In the past 24 hours, $288 million in positions were liquidated across the network, with long liquidations leading at $227 million. This indicates that despite price stabilization, high-leverage risks are still being released and market sentiment rem
BTC3.72%
ETH5.75%
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#ETH Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: ETH’s trend is stronger than BTC. The 1-hour reversal point is crucial—holding above it may help form a short-term bottom; if it breaks, expect to see levels near 2800.
2️⃣ Capital Flows & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics Capital Flows: Positive signals are emerging on the capital front. Contrary to BTC ETF outflows, the US spot Ethereum ETF saw a net inflow of $140 million on Wednesday (December 4). This suggests that some institutional capital prefers ETH during the decline, or is rotating between sectors. On-chain Data: Technical upgrades p
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Bitcoin is currently in an "extreme pattern of historical high volatility, with long leverage positions being liquidated." Prices reached historic highs driven by sentiment, but quickly pulled back due to massive profit-taking and excessive leverage collapse.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics Capital flow (market “blood transfusion”): Institutional funds show short-term divergence. Data shows that US Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net outflow of nearly $15 million on Wednesday (December 4), breaking the previous streak of conse
BTC3.72%
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#BTC Intraday Analysis
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation: Bitcoin is currently in a "strong rebound driven by macro factors and capital inflows." The price has surged strongly from the low on December 1, continuously breaking through multiple key resistance levels. The next key target is the previous important platform area at 95,000-96,000.
2️⃣ Capital Flows & On-Chain & Exchange Dynamics Capital Flows (Core Driver): The strong return of institutional funds is the cornerstone of the rebound. Last week, global cryptocurrency ETFs recorded a net inflow of $1.1 billion, the highest in seven weeks,
BTC3.72%
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Daily Analysis of #ETH
1️⃣ Structure Interpretation of ETH's Trend "Dual Breakout of Technical and Capital Aspects". The price has dropped to around 2700, and I currently lean towards a bearish trend. Next, we need to pay attention to whether the price will first reach around 3000 or go down to around 2500. The current range is about 400-500 points. The space is still quite good. We need to grasp the market rhythm well and not be influenced by the fundamentals. We only follow the technical aspects.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics
On-chain data (continuing bearish): Signifi
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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Daily Analysis of #BTC
1️⃣ Structural interpretation of the oversold recovery market after macro shocks. The sharp decline yesterday was due to the Bank of Japan signaling interest rate hikes, triggering a surge in global government bond yields and indiscriminate selling of risk assets. Current prices have fallen to a key support area. Focus on the overall trend in this range.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics On-chain Data (Core Divergence Point): The data reveals a significant divergence in the market. On one hand is the "greed" of the whales: on-chain data shows a notable inc
BTC3.72%
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Daily Analysis of #ETH
1️⃣ Structural interpretation ETH's trend is deeply linked with BTC, and due to its higher volatility, it is often a disaster zone for liquidation. Personally, I believe that if it cannot break the 2850-60 range on a 4-hour timeframe, the possibility of testing new lows again is very high. Even if the sentiment is right, touching 2400 is not out of the question.
2️⃣ Fund Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamic Exchange Dynamics (Market "Sentiment" Thermometer): ETH is a major area for liquidations. Data shows that in the past 24 hours, long positions in ETH had liquidati
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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Daily Analysis of #BTC
1️⃣ Structure interpretation: Pay attention to the trend around 86000. If 86000 breaks, I personally suggest following last week's viewpoint and continuing to look towards the lower vicinity. For such trends, we should be clear about what is following the trend and what is against the trend. The current sentiment is like this: if the key support is lost, the bearish sentiment will intensify.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamic Exchange Dynamics (Market "Sentiment" Thermometer): High-leverage longs face "bloody" liquidations. In the past 4 hours, the total
BTC3.72%
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Daily Analysis of #ETH
1️⃣ Structural interpretation: When Bitcoin faces significant uncertainty, ETH's short-term independence is limited. However, attention should be paid to the death cross on the 1-hour chart; the next step is whether to consolidate sideways or to experience a downward correction.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamic Exchange Dynamics (Market "Sentiment" Thermometer): In the past 24 hours, the liquidation amount of short positions in Ethereum was $34.8348 million. This indicates that bearish traders in the ETH market have also been impacted.
3️⃣ Day trading
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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Daily analysis of #BTC
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation The current market structure of Bitcoin is significantly influenced by the behavior of large whales. In the past 30 days, the inflow of funds from BTC whales to the Binance exchange reached $7.5 billion, the highest level in the past year. Current data shows that whales are either taking profits or managing risk during market weakness, which has added additional selling pressure to the market.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics On-chain Data (Whales' "Bottom Card" Trends): Whales continue to deposit to exchanges. According
BTC3.72%
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Daily Analysis #ETH
1️⃣ Structural analysis of ETH's short-term structure shows a synchronized repair, but its independence is limited. Its trend primarily depends on BTC's movements. Currently, Ethereum has quickly surged and then started to consolidate laterally. It has not experienced the same slow upward movement as Bitcoin, so we need to be cautious of a rapid market pullback.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamic Derivatives Market ("Sentiment" Thermometer): The total open positions of ETH contracts across the network increased by 5.11% in 24 hours, reaching a total of
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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Daily Analysis #BTC
1️⃣ Structural Interpretation Currently, the market is driven by macroeconomic favorable factors, while the technical aspect is under pressure, but overall it remains weak. The short-term trend is dominated by macro sentiment, but the technical aspect has not formed a solid bottom structure, so attention should be paid to the subsequent development of the market.
2️⃣ Capital Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamics Macroeconomic Environment (Market "Tailwind"): The biggest support comes from the macro level. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
BTC3.72%
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Daily Analysis for #ETH
1️⃣ Structural interpretation: Before the big cake has a clear rise, Ethereum can only be a bit strong at most and will never show an independent market trend. We must believe in the suppression of bloodline. Below, we continue to pay attention to 2800-2760 (short-term).
2️⃣ Fund Flow & On-chain & Exchange Dynamic Fund Flow (Market "Blood Transfusion" Situation): Institutional funds show signs of re-entering. The US spot Ethereum ETF recorded a net inflow of $96.67 million on Monday, breaking the previous streak of eight consecutive days of outflows, which is a positiv
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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