GateUser-13faf6d3
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$BTC 1H BB also squeezed to the extreme, fkn nuts
BTC0.62%
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$ETH 2D candle just printed and it's continuing to squeeze!
ETH0.44%
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$BTC 2D BB is even more compressed than $ETH
BTC0.62%
ETH0.44%
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$ETH 2D candle close in 45mins. Still in extreme squeeze and should see it compress even more
ETH0.44%
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$ETH 1H BB in 0th percentile lol 'extreme' squeeze. Should see a move soon but probably nothing big
ETH0.44%
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$ETH 2H BB in 'extreme' squeeze
ETH0.44%
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Retail has been selling $ETH spot over the weekend. Aggregated spot CVD showing \~19K net taker spot sells. This is capitulation.
ETH0.44%
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$ETH net \~50K spot taker buys since the 18th Spot CVDs trending up but need to see some follow through to confirm OI trended up a little, could be shorts loading Funding neutral
ETH0.44%
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Looks like I'm wrong, so far lol although it's weekend now so possibly range until Monday and continue up/down from there $ETH
ETH0.44%
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$ETH 4H candle just opened above mid BB, again
ETH0.44%
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$ETH 2D BB in 'extreme' squeeze again but this time it looks cleaner too. Unclear whether it'll break out up or down
ETH0.44%
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Bullish 1D candle printed for $ETH, a doji, but unlikely to lead to a reversal
ETH0.44%
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This $ETH and $BTC PA was max scummy. Truly disgusting. - pump market leading into NY open - no usual 10am slam - market participants regain some bullish hope - market ranges for a coupe of hours, things looking ok - everything dumps again The 10am slam became the 12pm slam
ETH0.44%
BTC0.62%
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Also: Reflexivity = price changes behaviour and behaviour feeds back into price. Not fundamentals -\> price. Example of a crypto loop: 1. Price starts going up 2. People interpret that as "something is happening" 3. More buyers pile in (spot, perps, leverage) 4. Funding flips
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FYI: CTAs are Commodity Trading Advisors. They're basically rules based funds. Something like trend following algos. - they trade futures (rates, equities, FX and crypto via proxies) - they follow price + volatility, not narrative - they scale exposure up/down mechanically
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The Xmas -\> New Year window is structurally risk-off for institutional behaviour. It doesn't mean price risk goes down. Participation drops but risk actually goes up. December is a position management month. Not an idea generation month. If you're trading through Dec: - size
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This is cautiously bullish
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