Liangqiu: 12.8 Bitcoin/Ethereum Whipsaw Movements—What Is the Main Force Trying to Achieve?
Bitcoin and Ethereum both saw successful short setups yesterday, capturing significant moves: short from 30,400 to 29,100 and, in the early morning, short from above 31,300 to around 30,100—both decent ranges. Currently, both are consolidating after rebounding from lows, exhibiting a volatile sideways trend influenced by macro factors like Fed rate cut expectations and fierce long-short battles. Bitcoin’s price action has been highly volatile, rebounding from 87,688 overnight to 91,720, then pulling back and consolidating above 90,000. Technically, MACD on the daily chart is expanding upward, showing a bullish trend. EMA30 resistance is at 93,600, and the upper Bollinger Band is at 94,500; on the 4-hour chart, MACD is nearly done contracting and after breaking 92,000, DIF and DEA may form a golden cross. The core volatility range is between 87,000 and 92,000, with strong buy support at the 87,500–88,000 area. The key breakout level is 92,600; a break above could see the uptrend continue.
Ethereum has also staged a V-shaped rebound, hitting a low near 2,910 before bouncing to around 3,160, an increase of over 8%. After a pullback, it’s now consolidating again near 3,130. Technically, daily MACD bullish momentum has weakened, and there were signs of a fake-out on the 4-hour chart. Resistance is concentrated near 3,180–3,200, with further resistance at the 3,250 level. Key psychological support is at 3,000, and the 2,900–2,950 area is a critical bull defense line; the effectiveness of support here will determine the future direction of the market.
Trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, short near 91,600–92,000, target around 89,500; for Ethereum, short near 3,140–3,160, target around 3,060; nephew-grandson 93,300 and 3,220.
Daily analysis and strategies have a high win rate and can be referenced, but analysis and strategies are for reference only—trade at your own risk. Articles are not published in real time, so refer to real-time data! #美联储降息预测 #SUIETF正式上线 #广场发帖领$50

Liangqiu: 12.8 Bitcoin/Ethereum Evening Wick Movements, Continue to Focus on Retracement Overnight
Bitcoin/Ethereum intraday strategy once again plans two high short orders. The second order targets the 89,500 and 3,020 range, directly shorting near the recent highs at 3,070 and 90,300, as previously discussed. The market has surged from the lows of around 2,903 and 87,700 to highs of 91,500 and 3,133, which is a relatively large increase. After a significant recent decline, the candlestick pattern shows a gradual rebound, currently forming a volatile upward trend. The four-hour long lower shadow bullish candle indicates strong buying support at the lower levels. On the technical side, in the 4-hour timeframe, both DIF and DEA are near the zero axis, and the MACD histogram has turned from negative to positive, showing strengthening bullish momentum, but sustainability needs to be monitored. The market is currently near previous resistance, so it's possible to look for another retracement.
Overnight trading suggestions: Short Bitcoin at the current price around 91,300 to 91,800, target near 89,000; short Ethereum at the current price around 3,130 to 3,150, target near 3,040. If it breaks, continue to look lower, targeting 93,000 and 3,200.
The daily analysis and strategy have a high success rate, which is evident. The analysis and strategy are for reference only; please bear your own risk. The article review and publication are not real-time, so please refer to live updates!
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Liangqiu: 12.7 Bitcoin/Ethereum Long-Short Tug-of-War Obvious, Awaiting Weekly Close
Bitcoin and Ethereum both experienced a period of consolidation over the weekend, with bulls and bears contending around key price levels. Bitcoin/Ethereum repeatedly tested the 90,000 and 3,050 psychological thresholds throughout the day, displaying a technical correction rather than a reversal trend. Recently, both have rebounded from their lows, with the 88,000 and 2,980 levels forming key support below. The daily chart has yet to break above previous highs at 3,069 and 90,270. The 2-hour MACD golden cross is weak, and the candlestick pattern has formed an evening star, indicating a short-term risk of a pullback.
In terms of candlestick patterns, prices have been fluctuating around 3,050 and 89,500 recently, showing a mild rebound, but overall remain in a recovery phase following the previous sharp decline. On technical indicators, both the DIF and DEA averages are gradually falling, the negative histogram is narrowing, indicating that bearish forces are weakening but bulls have yet to fully take control.
Evening trading suggestions: Bitcoin short around 89,300 to 89,800, target around 88,200; Ethereum short around 3,040 to 3,060, target around 2,980.
Daily analysis and strategies have a relatively high win rate and are visible to all. Analysis and strategies are for reference only; please bear your own risk. Article review and publication are not timely; please refer to real-time information!
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