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#钱包社交转型 Seeing the transformation of Farcaster over the past five years, I have some feelings. From the "Decentralization Twitter dream" to today's wallet-first strategy, this is not a failure, but an honest dialogue—both with the market and with oneself.
Data speaks volumes. In early 2024, reaching 100,000 daily active users seemed glorious, but three months later it dropped to 60,000, and by October this year, monthly revenue plummeted by 99%. This is not a random fluctuation, but a structural signal. As I look at these numbers, I think that many people invested money because they believed in the narrative of "social first." But reality is often quieter than ideals.
What truly makes me think is the logic behind this shift. The retention rate and usage frequency of the Wallet clearly surpass that of the social module. People have real needs when transferring, trading, and interacting on the chain, while pure social discussions often lead to self-circulation. This reminds me of something very important — **do not confuse imagined needs with real needs**.
To those participants in the ecosystem, I would like to make two points. First, be wary of the risks of a single narrative. Any claims of "inevitability" in any track should be approached with caution. Second, pay attention to the sincerity of the team. Dan Romero admitted that "social-first did not work," and this kind of honesty is actually more trustworthy than maintaining a scripted narrative.
However, the competition in the Wallet sector has become quite fierce, and whether Farcaster can break through will depend on execution. At least this shift indicates that the team is willing to face reality. Projects that can adjust their direction based on market feedback often go further than those that stick to their "original intention."