The Federal Reserve's rate cut as scheduled initially boosted crypto prices, then caused a decline. Attempts to bottom out and positive news to watch for! 12.11 Bitcoin Auntie's Strategy

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but the December dot plot shows only one rate cut expected in 2026, well below market expectations. Although Trump complained that “the cut is too small.” This month, $40 billion in short-term US Treasury purchases (non-QE) were launched to selectively ease overnight lending market pressure. The surprise liquidity injection led to a short-term rebound in US stocks and crypto prices. However, Powell emphasized that current interest rates are in the neutral zone at a high level, with no preset policy path, causing crypto prices to fall back accordingly! Yesterday, we warned everyone to beware of Powell's speech suppressing crypto prices as expected, but it was too late—you missed the speech!
The daily chart closed in the red this morning. The rebound was again blocked at the upper Bollinger Band on the daily chart, so today’s focus is on whether the price can hold above or break below the 94,500 level. It already broke below yesterday’s low this morning. Although the technicals are currently bullish, there’s no strength to break through in the short term. Therefore, intraday, we can expect a pullback, waiting for stabilization before entering long positions!
12.11 Long Strategy:
Buy on pullback to 90,000-90,500, conservative entry at 89,000-89,500, with a stop around 88,000. Target near 92,000-93,000. If broken, look at 93,500-94,000-94,500, and trail stops accordingly based on market situation!
Ethereum pulls back to 3,120-3,150 for a long position, conservative entry at 3,050-3,080, with a stop near 3,000. Target near 3,250-3,300. If broken, look at 3,380-3,400-3,430, and trail stops accordingly!
12.11 Short Strategy:
Bitcoin rebounds to 94,500-95,000, then short one contract, with a stop around 96,000. Target near 93,500-93,000. If broken, look at 92,000-91,000, and trail stops accordingly!
Ethereum rebounds to 3,420-3,450, then short one contract, with a stop near 3,500. Target near 3,350-3,300. If broken, look at 3,280-3,250, and trail stops accordingly!
The low expectation for a rate cut in 2026 aligns with this month’s bottom-fishing strategy. Recent declines have been limited, so we can take advantage of the bottom out by gradually adding longs as positive news emerges!#加密市场反弹