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#Gate广场圣诞送温暖 Powell is about to take action? The probability of a rate cut by the Fed next month soars, and Barclays' latest interpretation is here!
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
🚨Fed will lower interest rates next month or not,
Now the entire market is watching Powell - and Barclays' latest report directly points out: the boss is very likely to take the lead in pushing for interest rate cuts!
Currently, there are明显分歧 within the FOMC, which has subtly divided into three main factions:
· Dovish: Milan, Powell, and Waller were the first to express their views, believing the time has come;
· The wait-and-see faction: Barr, Jefferson, Goolsbee, and Collins have ambiguous attitudes but tend to "maintain the status quo";
· Hawkish stance maintained: Musalem and Schmidt clearly oppose interest rate cuts and insist on holding steady.
The remaining two, Cook and Williams, say "decisions based on data" but their bodies are very honest - quietly leaning towards the direction of interest rate cuts.
With that said, currently 6 people are leaning towards no change, while 5 support a rate cut, making the situation delicate and almost a 50-50 split. However, Barclays emphasizes: don't just count heads, the key is still Powell! As the Fed Chairman, once he makes a statement, the threshold for others to publicly oppose him is extremely high — this rate cut is likely to be dictated by him.
How does the market see it?
As soon as the news broke, U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly, and Bitcoin rebounded in response. If interest rate cuts are indeed initiated next month, the liquidity floodgates will open again, and the crypto market is likely to welcome a new round of "active market conditions."
What do you guys think?
Will Powell strongly dominate the interest rate cut this time?
If the interest rate cut is implemented, can Bitcoin surge to its previous high? Will the altcoin season not arrive yet?