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Today is November 24th, BTC price 87454, on Ji.
1. On the macro level, the risk is that the "yen" interest rate hike in December may lead to a closure of global arbitrage funds, resulting in short-term downside risk. However, it appears that Kōshi Sōma will still adopt a monetary easing policy, with a probability of 50%. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts can still passively lead to yen appreciation, with a 75% probability of a rate cut in December. Another risk is the AI bubble, which I believe will not occur so soon.
2. Setting aside the macro view, the spot market has reached the best bottom-buying position of this year. Indeed, it is the best position of the whole year. This position has been impacted by several major risk expectations; those who needed to leave have left. Risks and opportunities are triggered simultaneously, and the bosses around me have all gone all in.
3. BTC has also reached the best position for a weekly rebound structurally. For details, watch the video. At least do half~~~