【$SOL Signal】Hold off on trading — Downtrend continuation, deep imbalance, no effective support observed
$SOL continues to decline after breaking below EMA20 (84.33), currently in a downtrend continuation pattern, with no clear reversal signals.
🎯 Direction: Hold off
Market analysis: 4H candles have been consecutively bearish, with the latest candlestick showing a buy/sell ratio of 0.5, indicating persistent selling pressure. Price has broken below the previous low of 82.39, now acting as resistance.
Hardcore logic: All key data points are bearish. 1. Depth imbalance at -13.25%, with ask orders significantly thicker than bid orders, indicating heavy selling pressure above. 2. RSI (37.79) is not oversold but remains in a weak zone with no divergence. 3. Order book shows a large sell order at 81.91 (14,072 SOL), forming a strong resistance.
Market sentiment: Price decline accompanied by stable open interest (OI), suggesting not panic selling by longs but more likely orderly distribution by large players or dominance by shorts. Although there is some accumulation in the 81.6-81.7 range, it is insufficient to reverse the trend, representing weak resistance.
Trading plan: Currently, no signals meet the criteria for long or short positions. To go long, wait for the price to reclaim above EMA20 and for OI to increase; to go short, wait for a rebound to a key resistance (such as the support turned resistance at 83.5) and for funding rates to turn positive with decreasing OI, indicating a confluence of signals. Risk management is the priority; hold off on trading and observe.
Trade here 👇 $SOL
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