Looking at the current daily structure, the market is gradually forming a relatively clear rebound pattern. I have repeatedly emphasized that Bitcoin's performance at this stage is significantly stronger than traditional risk assets, and its capital absorption capacity is also notably superior. Last week's market performance has already provided similar signals, with macro-level headwinds failing to truly break through the structure.
The weekend market released news about the possibility of continued conflict, which is essentially pre-digesting bearish sentiment. Once this expectation was fully traded over the weekend, it actually reduced its impact on the market next week. From a capital perspective, institutional fund movements are more worthy of attention. Institutions represented by BlackRock and MicroStrategy continued to increase their holdings last week. This level of sustained capital inflow suggests to me that this rebound trend has not ended.
The pullback phase from weekend to Monday is more suitable for seeking value long positions at lower levels, rather than blindly chasing shorts at current levels.
Trading approach focused on pullback longs: Entry in batches at 69,800 – 70,200; stop loss below 68,800.
Target zone: Around 78,500.
All short positions are short-term shorts; cannot think of them as pullbacks to the 66,000-64,000 range. Looking at the current daily structure, the market is gradually forming a relatively clear rebound pattern. I have repeatedly emphasized that Bitcoin's performance at this stage is significantly stronger than traditional risk assets, and its capital absorption capacity is also notably superior. Last week's market performance has already provided similar signals, with macro-level headwinds failing to truly break through the structure.
The weekend market released news about the possibility of continued conflict, which is essentially pre-digesting bearish sentiment. Once this expectation was fully traded over the weekend, it actually reduced its impact on the market next week. From a capital perspective, institutional fund movements are more worthy of attention. Institutions represented by BlackRock and MicroStrategy continued to increase their holdings last week. This level of sustained capital inflow suggests to me that this rebound trend has not ended.
The pullback phase from weekend to Monday is more suitable for seeking value long positions at lower levels, rather than blindly chasing shorts at current levels.
Trading approach focused on pullback longs: Entry in batches at 69,800 – 70,200; stop loss below 68,800.
Target zone: Around 78,500.
All short positions are short-term shorts; cannot think of them as pullbacks to the 66,000-64,000 range.
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