This week, major whales are primarily accumulating ETH. Last night, with Iran's 60% of missiles directed at US military bases in the UAE, the Emirates shifted directly from being the safest to the most panicked. Real estate prices are plummeting, foreign capital is fleeing, and talent drain is accelerating! Meanwhile, Dubai's carefully crafted international image as the safest, most tourist and finance-friendly city has been severely damaged. Recovery could take years!
This week's strategies are mixed—some profitable, some at losses, some breakeven. Overall, this week's indicators are fluctuating erratically, with frequent bull traps and bear traps. Without proper position control, sudden reversals can easily lead to liquidation.
Last night I mentioned the only variable was an escalation of US-Iran conflict. After waking up, the UAE sky was filled with drone swarms like locusts and attacked by nearly 200 missiles. This should be the largest round of attacks since the conflict escalated, completely shattering Trump's claim that over a thousand targets have been destroyed and there are no more targets left domestically. It's truly a massive face-slapping moment!
BTC/ETH pullbacks are currently normal. Yesterday's pullback I mentioned watching 2180-2190 first, then 2140-2160, followed by 2100-2130, stepping level by level. The probability of breaking below 2000 and 2050 is less than 5-10%, with BTC's latest pullback falling 76 points to hit yesterday's first level of 70360, ETH falling 12 points to hit its first level. The early morning level of 71350 was hit, and 2115 was hit. In the first wave down, BTC's lowest was 71130, rebound to 72215, with 700-point take-profit position sufficient for protection. ETH hit 2110 with a weak rebound of only 2142.8, barely 30 points. If you were watching the screen, there was an opportunity to reduce positions and move stops. If you weren't watching, as clearly stated in yesterday's intraday strategy, place orders accordingly. Don't place orders at this level—it belongs to night owl monitoring opportunities.
BTC and ETH, despite slightly escalating conflict, haven't broken key levels and have maintained their final support, preserving the need for indicator recovery and rebounds. So this is not doomsday!
Currently, the trend hasn't changed—1h/2h/4h bullish trends remain intact. On the weekend pullback, continue with cautious long positions at lower levels.
BTC support/resistance: 75475/70825/69800/67500
ETH support/resistance: 2225/2085/2005/1915
Weekend focus: Monitor breaks below 70825 and 2100 for the strength of the decline. If the decline is weak, look for long opportunities.
Operations: Control position size. Don't go overweight on explosive rallies or overweight on violent drops. Focus on price-volume signals at key support/resistance levels to determine if it's a true break or false break. Although K-line fluctuations are significant, they're also opportunities. If you can't catch big moves, small positions can still work perfectly fine!
#Gate广场AI测评官 $BTC $ETH
