Tonight's real show isn't about the 25 basis points cut—that was no surprise anymore. The key is how old Powell's mouth moves, what he says, and what facial expressions he uses.

The rate cut is already a known fact. But what the market is really betting on is the Fed's next attitude. If Powell is a bit softer and says "the economy is okay, we can slow down gradually," the dollar will weaken, funds will immediately flow into the crypto market, and Bitcoin, Ethereum will directly benefit; if he insists on "inflation still isn’t completely dead," then the dollar will instantly strengthen, and crypto prices will drop on the spot.

Currently, the situation in the US is a bit delicate: news of tech giants layoffs coming one after another, prices still fluctuating at high levels, and more complicated is the government shutdown leading to missing economic data. Everyone is guessing—guessing what signal Powell will give tonight.

So don’t operate blindly. Focus on these three things:

**First, the wording of the meeting statement**
Seeing expressions like "inflation pressures easing" "policy adjustments can be more flexible"? That’s a dovish signal, you can breathe a sigh of relief. But if they repeatedly emphasize "inflation risks still exist" "caution is necessary," be careful, hawks are about to show their teeth, and the market will be uncomfortable.

**Second, changes in the dot plot**
The more dots that fall down, the better—if the forecast for the end of 2026 shows lower rates than before, it means more room for rate cuts next year, giving crypto fuel. Conversely, if the dots move upward? That means rate cut expectations will be dampened, and crypto prices will also have to follow suit.

**Third, Powell’s press conference**
If he dares to say "the labor market is solid, the chances of a soft landing are high," that’s a hint of continuing easing, and you can follow. But if his words are tinged with caution, mentioning "inflation is resilient, more data is needed," don’t hesitate, protect your principal quickly.

Remember one thing: living is more important than getting rich overnight.

Don’t gamble tonight, first see the direction clearly.