KyleChassé
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Everyone is obsessing over the rate cut, but they missed the real signal.
I’ve been tracking the plumbing, and the math just shifted. As of December 1st, Quantitative Tightening (QT) is officially dead.
The era of draining liquidity is over.
Here is the setup: The Treasury spent the last year sucking cash out of the system to fill its checking account to $1 Trillion.
But the "buffer" (the Reverse Repo facility) is now empty. They have run out of room to maneuver.
To avoid breaking the banking system, they HAVE TO release that cash. They are targeting a drawdown to ~$600B, which means ~$400 B
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The most important chart for 2026 isn't Bitcoin. It's the US Treasury's checking account.
Everyone is asking why crypto stalled. The answer is buried in the government's plumbing.
The Treasury General Account (TGA) surged to $1 Trillion. That is a massive liquidity vacuum. It sucked dollars out of the system to refill the government's wallet.
To avoid a recession in 2026, they must drain that account back down. That means pushing ~$150B - $200B back into the banking system. Plus, QT has officiall
BTC-2.23%
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THE SUITS ARE BIDDING AGAIN.
I’ve been watching the ETF flows like a hawk. After weeks of bleeding, we finally saw the first signs of life.
Bitcoin: +$152M Net Inflows (Fidelity leading the charge).
Ethereum: +$178M Net Inflows (BlackRock's ETF bidders bought the dip).
Solana: +$16M (Quiet accumulation).
The Signal:Retail is panic selling because of "macro fears." Institutions are panic buying because they see the liquidity roadmap for 2026.
This is the divergence. When BlackRock's ETF bidders buy $178M of ETH in a day, they aren't gambling.
They are positioning.
Don't give them your cheap c
BTC-2.23%
ETH-4.05%
SOL-4.19%
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Stop the victim mentality.
I ran the numbers comparing Crypto accounts vs. Normie accounts (NYT, MrBeast, The Verge). EVERYONE is bleeding.
Crypto is down ~20%.
Tech & Entertainment is down ~20%.
The algorithm isn't "targeting" your bags. It is shifting focus from Volume to Quality. When MrBeast takes a 21% hit, you know it’s a platform-wide liquidity crunch on attention.
Stop chasing the algo. Start chasing the alpha.
Quality content ONLY.
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Institutions want your Bitcoin.
Do not sell it to them.
Do not use leverage.
Zoom out and breathe.
The real explosive move is still ahead and likely builds into early 2026.
A dovish Fed chair in May plus midterms sets the stage for a major run.
Watch the full video in the comments👇
BTC-2.23%
NOT-0.92%
MOVE-3.82%
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$SUI has an object model that's working
$SUI isn’t scaling by adding bigger servers.
It’s scaling by redesigning how state moves onchain.
Parallel execution → consistent low latency.
Object-based design → faster app development.
This is why builders migrate and why liquidity sticks.
SUI-3.22%
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$APT flipped $SOL in 24H stablecoin inflows.
It's like a game of leap frog at this point.
APT-2.4%
SOL-4.19%
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LEVERAGE ABOUT TO FLUSH? I’M READY.
I’m looking at the on-chain health this morning, and the signal is flashing yellow.
Unrealized losses across the ecosystem just hit ~$350 Billion.
Bitcoin alone accounts for ~$85 Billion of that pain.
When you see this much underwater capital combined with shrinking liquidity, you are entering a super High-Volatility Regime. The market is fragile.
It doesn't take much sell pressure to trigger a cascade of liquidations when $350B is already feeling the heat.
The tourists are going to panic at the volatility. The leverage traders are going to get wrecked. But
BTC-2.23%
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The "Strong Labor Market" narrative just took another hit.
I’ve been tracking the trend, and the signal is getting louder.
US Initial Jobless Claims just came in at 236,000 vs. 220,000 expected.
To the consensus, this is a "miss."
To me, this is validation.
Think about the setup:
1. We have 1.2 Million announced job cuts YTD.
2. Manufacturing is in contraction.
3. And now, jobless claims are spiking above expectations.
The "Soft Landing" crowd wants you to believe employment is stable.
But the data shows the consumer is starting to crack…
Why this matters for your portfolio:
The Fed is watchin
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$DEEP just surpassed $16B in volume after another $29M day.
With 20M users burning $DEEP with transaction, $DEEP is at the big boy table.
DEEP-4.06%
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THEY JUST TURNED THE PRINTER BACK ON. AND NO ONE NOTICED.
Everyone is debating the 25bps rate cut or the "split vote." You are missing the forest for the trees.
Buried in today's announcement was the smoking gun: The Fed will resume buying Treasury securities starting Friday.specifically $40 Billion per month in T-Bills.
Let me translate Fed-speak for you:They call it "Balance Sheet Management." I call it Soft QE. I call it Monetizing the Debt.
The 9-3 split vote (first since 2019) proves the consensus is broken. The board is fighting itself.
By buying $40 BILLION in T-Bills, they are admittin
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The US Treasury is now operating like a distressed hedge fund.
I dug into the issuance data. We just hit a record $25.4 TRILLION in T-Bills over the last 12 months. That is 69.4% of total Treasury issuance.
Why does this matter? Because the government can no longer afford to lock in long-term rates. They are funding the Empire on short-term paper.
If the Fed raises rates, the interest expense bankrupts the country. They are trapped.
The only path forward is to monetize the debt. I am betting on the printer here.
Liquidity is nearly here imo.
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I’ve been telling you to watch the quiet assets. Silver just screamed.
Silver officially broke $60/oz for the first time in history. It is up +108% in 2025.
Let that sink in. While everyone is chasing the AI bubble, Silver is up 6 TIMES more than the S&P 500 this year.
This isn't a "commodity rally." This is just another step towards seeing more and more people ditch the dollar.
The smart money isn't buying stocks; they are exiting the currency. If you aren't holding hard assets, you are the yield.
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I’ve been telling you to watch the quiet assets. Silver just screamed.
Silver officially broke $60/oz for the first time in history. It is up +108% in 2025.
Let that sink in. While everyone is chasing the AI bubble, Silver is up 6 TIMES more than the S&P 500 this year.
This isn't a "commodity rally." This is the market pricing in the death of the dollar.
The smart money isn't buying stocks; they are exiting the currency. If you aren't holding hard assets, you are the yield.
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LATEST: Jerome Powell announces 25 bps rate cut.
As mentioned in my previous posts, they had no option here.
Liquidity is coming. Trillions will flow in.
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I am essentially shorting the Federal Reserve.
It is the only trade that makes mathematical sense.
People ask me what my "edge" is.
It’s actually really simple. I don't try to out-trade the quants (I don’t trade at all). I just watch the liquidity.
Right now, the math is inevitable:
1. Japan’s bond market is breaking (forcing them to print).
2. US interest expense is exploding (forcing them to print).
3. China is stimulating (printing).
I don't care what the "sentiment" is today.
The world is drowning in debt, and the only way out is debasement.
I’m betting against central bankers and longin
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Sui isn’t just shipping infra.
It’s spawning category makers.
Eco projects like $WAL, $DEEP, and $BLUE are stress-testing Sui’s object model in real markets.
When the ecosystem pulls demand, not the other way around, the base layer wins.
$SUI is that base layer.
SUI-3.22%
WAL-3.1%
DEEP-4.06%
BLUE-5.71%
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Aptos isn’t chasing hype cycles.
It’s quietly optimizing for execution.
Parallelism. Fast finality. Low variance fees.
The stuff builders actually care about.
As markets rotate from narratives to throughput + reliability, infra that scales in practice wins.
$APT is positioned for that shift.
APT-2.4%
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EXTEND AND PRETEND.
$1.5 TRILLION in Commercial Real Estate loans will mature by the end of 2026.
> Office vacancy is stuck at 19%.
> Valuations in major cities are down 30-40%.
Mathematically, hundreds of regional banks are insolvent.
Why haven't they collapsed?
Because regulators are letting them "extend" the loans and "pretend" the collateral is still worth 2021 prices.
You can fake the valuation, but you can't fake the maturity date.
When that $1.5T wall hits, the Fed has two choices:
1. Let the banking system collapse.
2. Print the difference to bail them out.
Hint: They never choose Opti
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