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The most dangerous thing is not conflict, but "misjudgment"
Many people worry about the escalation of the situation, but the real risk is actually misjudgment.
When both sides are playing under high pressure, a wrong signal or a misreading could trigger a chain reaction. This kind of "unplanned escalation" is the hardest to control.
The interaction between Iran and the United States now is like two cars speeding at each other—both testing each other's bottom line.
The good news is: both sides are aware of the risks, so they will try to avoid a real collision.
The bad news is: uncertainty remains high.
Therefore, the overall judgment is: in the short term, there will still be repeated tug-of-war, occasional warming, but ultimately more likely to return to a "limited easing" track rather than full-scale conflict.
—Final summary: the situation will not easily improve, but it also won't easily spiral out of control. The only true key word is—"game."#美伊二轮谈判进展