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These days, I've been seeing a bunch of "smart money address profiling/tag clustering" flying around again. To be honest, I only treat it as a reference now; don't be too superstitious. Many addresses haven't been operated by a single person for a long time: multi-signature, custody, market making, profit-sharing, even group control scripts... Once a label is attached, it’s like putting a mask on someone’s face—looks pretty accurate, but often it’s just taking the "path" of the fund flow as "intention."
Now I prefer to look at which chain/pool the funds are moved from during the same period, whether there are repeated staking actions, and then decide to keep the main assets steady, with a small side dish and a quick FOMO.
By the way, recently retail investors have been complaining that validator/MEV ordering is unfair, and it’s not without reason. Many "flows" are actually squeezed out by sorting, not necessarily led by big players.
Next time we’ll chat more.