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1. Current Pattern
Range-bound fluctuations, bulls and bears in a tug-of-war
Core trading range: $69,000 – $71,000
2. Long Position Plan (Moderately Conservative)
- Entry Zone: Around $69,000
- Stop Loss: $68,500 (exit if effectively broken)
- First Take Profit: $70,500
- Second Take Profit: $71,000
Trigger Conditions:
Pullback without breaking below $69,000 and a bullish 4-hour close before entering
3. Short Position Plan (More Aggressive)
- Entry Zone: Around $71,000
- Stop Loss: $71,700 (strict stop loss on breakout)
- First Take Profit: $69,500
- Second Take Profit: $69,000
Trigger Conditions:
Enter again during a pullback after a rally, with a clear upper shadow and shrinking volume
4. Breakout/Breakdown Response
1. Volume increases and stabilizes above $71,700
Trend turns stronger, can chase longs on pullback, targeting the $74,000 area
2. Effective break below $68,500
Short-term weakness, mainly shorting on rebounds, with a downside target near $66,000
5. Risk Control Reminders
- Single position should not exceed 5%–10% of total funds
- Do not hold positions against the trend or add to positions impulsively
- During high volatility, trade lightly within the range