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The weekly initial jobless claims will be announced tonight at 20:30. The previous value was 213,000, with an expectation of 215,000. The data difference is minimal and will directly impact short-term fluctuations of BTC/ETH, determining whether the market surges then pulls back or tests the bottom and rebounds.
Core Logic
Data < 213,000 (better than expected): Stable employment → Cooling of rate cut expectations → Strengthening of the US dollar → Short-term pressure on BTC/ETH, prone to pullback from high levels.
Data > 215,000 (weaker than expected): Cooling of employment → Rebound in rate cut expectations → Positive for risk assets, crypto prices likely to rebound.
213,000–215,000 (as expected): Mainly sideways movement, slight decline followed by consolidation, limited volatility.
Is that clear enough?
BTC: Key support 683, key resistance 717
ETH: Key support 1990, key resistance 2088
Overall rhythm: After the data release, there will be sharp fluctuations within 5–15 minutes, then a return to technical analysis. #Gate蓝龙虾重磅上线