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Simple Method for Trend Judgment: No Indicators Needed, Just Read Candlesticks
Hello everyone, I am Song Song Wen Wen.
In the previous three articles, we discussed:
Trading Filter Mechanism → True and False Breakout Identification → Correct Drawing of Support and Resistance
Today is about a quick way to judge the trend—no indicators, no complexity, just reading candlesticks.
Pure technical analysis, pure practical tips, suitable for all contract traders.
1. 90% of people lose money against the trend because they can't read the trend
Many traders:
- Clearly in a downtrend but still try to buy the dip
- Clearly in an uptrend but guess the top to short
- Make a small profit on a lower timeframe, only to be taken out by the larger trend
Main reason:
Only focus on the current candlestick, unable to see the overall trend.
Doing the trend right means earning while lying down;
Doing the trend wrong means losing more the harder you try.
2. What is a trend? Explained in one sentence
- Uptrend: Higher lows and higher highs
- Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows
- Range-bound trend: No pattern in highs and lows, bouncing up and down repeatedly
No need for MA, no need for MACD,
Just look at highs and lows to understand bullish or bearish.
3. My practical "3-Second Trend Judgment Method"
1. Confirming an Uptrend
① The later low > the previous low
② The later high > the previous high
If satisfied → Bullish trend, only long positions, no shorts.
2. Confirming a Downtrend
① The later high < the previous high
② The later low < the previous low
If satisfied → Bearish trend, only short positions, no longs.
3. Range Market
No pattern in highs and lows, no upward or downward movement → Do not trade, observe, hold light positions, filter trades.
4. Three Iron Rules of Trend Trading (Remember to lose less than 50%)
1. Small timeframes obey larger ones
If the daily chart is down → even if 15-minute chart rises, only short
If the daily chart is up → even if 15-minute chart falls, only long
2. Trade in one direction only with the trend
In an uptrend, look for long opportunities
In a downtrend, look for short opportunities
Avoid fighting both ways
3. Trends do not speak of tops or bottoms
Don’t guess the peak or the bottom,
Wait for the structure to break before judging a reversal.
5. Trend + Support & Resistance + Breakout = High Win Rate Closed Loop
Connecting the previous three articles forms a complete system:
1. First, look at the macro trend direction
2. Then find key support and resistance levels
3. Wait for a true breakout + retest confirmation
4. Finally, enter with a light position, only aiming for the "meat" of the move
This has been my core logic for consistent success. #Gate广场新星计划 $GT $ETH