The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 99.4%.

2026-03-11 00:33:37

Gelonghui March 11 | According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.6%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 99.4%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April is 13.9%, with an 86.1% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 0.1% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by June is 37.5%.

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