U.S. February Non-Farm Payrolls Cool Down but Not Yet Slowing Down; Fed Rate Cuts May Be a Luxury Amid War Clouds

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CryptoWorld reports that after a surge in healthcare industry hiring in January, the expected return to normalcy may have caused U.S. job growth in February to cool down, although the unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.3%. The Department of Labor will release this highly anticipated employment report later, which may show signs of a stabilizing labor market. Previously, in 2025, the labor market was sluggish due to uncertainty stemming from President Trump’s comprehensive tariff policies. This will further reinforce economists’ view that the Federal Reserve is not in a rush to cut interest rates, especially as tensions in the Middle East threaten to boost inflation. Economists forecast that after adding 130,000 jobs in January, non-farm employment last month may have increased by only 59,000. The forecast range varies from a decrease of 9,000 to an increase of 125,000. In addition to the cooldown in the healthcare sector, a strike by 31,000 healthcare workers in California and Hawaii could also weigh on employment data.

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