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Calling a bottom during forced selling is gambling.
Real bottom forms after volatility dries up, not at maximum fear.
Bottom-fishing only makes sense after funding stabilizes and sellers exhaust, not during waterfall candles.
2️⃣ Cause analysis (no conspiracy)
• Higher-for-longer rates = liquidity withdrawal
• Risk parity funds unwinding
• Margin calls forcing asset-agnostic selling
Everything falls together when liquidity disappears.
3️⃣ Trading review (discipline > ego)
I reduced exposure early and stayed defensive.
No aggressive longs yet — only selective shorts and capital preservation.
Survival first, profits later.
My stance:
I’m observing, not predicting.
Markets don’t bottom when people ask “should I buy?”
They bottom when people stop asking at all.