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: money moving across borders is broken. There are delays, there are costs, and there are middlemen taking cuts. Ripple’s vision involves using XRP and its stablecoin RLUSD on a blockchain ledger to create frictionless settlement — instant, 24/7, borderless transactions at minimal cost.
That’s the infrastructure play. That’s what the acquisition spree is building toward.
The problem? Building an infrastructure platform and ensuring the token’s price appreciation are two entirely different things.
The Valuation vs. Token Price Disconnect
Here’s where things get complicated. Ripple successfully raised $500 million last year at a $40 billion valuation — money that reflects investor confidence in the company’s ability to transform financial systems. Some analysts project Ripple’s intrinsic value could eventually reach $100 billion or beyond.
But let’s be clear: that valuation is for Ripple the company, not for XRP the token.
Currently trading at $1.90, XRP functions primarily as a bridge currency — you don’t spend it directly on goods or services. Instead, it temporarily facilitates conversion between fiat currencies. And here’s the uncomfortable truth: stablecoins are increasingly taking over this role, and they may be more efficient at it.
Throughout its decade-plus trading history, XRP has never sustained trading above $4 even once. Even as Ripple’s company valuation soared, the token remained stuck in a narrow range, suggesting that market participants already understand this distinction.
The Stablecoin Competition Problem
This is the critical issue being underestimated. RLUSD and other stablecoins represent a more direct solution to cross-border payments than XRP ever could. If Ripple’s own technology evolves to prefer stablecoin infrastructure over its native token, what’s XRP’s actual utility?
The company might become hugely valuable. The global financial infrastructure transformation could be real. But wealth concentration in Ripple’s corporate valuation doesn’t automatically translate to XRP token holders benefiting from that success.
The Investment Reality Check
The narrative of “Ripple as the next Amazon” captures something real about corporate ambition and infrastructure building. But it also misses the forest for the trees: Amazon became valuable because AWS generated enormous profits for Amazon. XRP holders benefit from token appreciation, which is a different mechanism entirely.
Before deploying capital, investors should understand what they’re actually betting on — the company’s potential, or the token’s utility and scarcity value. These aren’t the same thing, and history suggests the former doesn’t guarantee the latter.