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The tariff turmoil is not just news, but a signal of escalating game-playing
Recently, the US-Europe tariff dispute has heated up again. On the surface, the market sees "trade friction" and "negotiation disagreements," but essentially, this is more like a phased escalation in a long-term game. Tariffs are not the goal but a means to reshape the supply chain, compete for pricing power, and bargaining chips.
From a macro perspective, tariff escalation means:
* Increased global trade costs
* Compression of corporate profit margins
* Resurgence of inflation uncertainties
The impact on the market is not immediate but is gradually transmitted through corporate expectations, investment plans, and capital expenditures. It is precisely because of this "lag effect" that many investors tend to underestimate its sustained impact.
Historical experience tells us that every escalation of trade friction will change capital preferences. In the short term, there is volatility; in the medium term, there is differentiation; and in the long term, there is structural reshaping. The tariff turmoil is more like a slow variable, but once accumulated, it will become a trend force.
#欧美关税风波冲击市场