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Emotions often reach the market faster than fundamentals. This is especially evident in predicting market data.
Referring to the latest statistics of prediction markets, we can see the changes in the proportion of different FDV tiers:
• Projects with FDV over 800M account for 63%, down 3% since early January
• Projects with FDV over 1B account for 55.7%, up 3.7% since early January
• Projects with FDV over 2B account for 12.7%, up 2.6% since early January
Interestingly, on the surface, the segment with FDV > 800M appears to be shrinking, but looking further up, the number of projects surpassing 1B and 2B is actually increasing. What does this indicate about the market? Capital is concentrating on top-tier projects, while attention to mid-tier projects is being diluted. When sentiment shifts from broadly bullish to selectively bullish, this kind of divergence begins.