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Recently, former President Trump's remarks have caused quite a stir in the global financial circle. He publicly questioned the independence of the Federal Reserve and even hinted at replacing Powell in May. While claiming "he won't be fired now," he subtly sent a signal—that this power struggle is just beginning.
The international central banking community is unsettled. Central bank governors from Europe, the UK, and other countries have collectively voiced support for Powell. Former ECB President Trichet made the most direct statement: this is an attempt to overturn the past 50 years of international consensus and treat the Federal Reserve as a "cash machine" for the White House. The words are harsh, but they reflect the genuine concerns of major central banks.
If the Federal Reserve truly loses its independence, a series of chain reactions could be triggered. First, the credibility of the US dollar would be damaged, and long-term depreciation pressures would significantly increase. Second, global inflation control could fail, raising concerns about price stability. Lastly, the US's already fragile high-debt structure could become unsustainable if the financing environment suddenly changes, leading to unimaginable consequences.
Citibank issued an interesting warning: this trend of "central bank intervention" could spread like a virus to Europe and the UK. The market currently appears calm, but beneath the surface, there are turbulent undercurrents—US debt remains high, yet the economy relies on low interest rates to sustain itself, and any policy adjustment could become a trigger for a crisis.
Trump dismisses these concerns, claiming he "understands the economy better" than Powell. Rumors suggest he has his eyes on several candidates, including former Fed officials Wacht and former economic advisor Hasset. On the surface, it's personnel changes, but in reality, it's a power struggle over control of the US economy.
Historical experience tells us a rule: whenever the fiat currency system shows cracks, funds seek alternative safe havens. Recently, gold has hit new all-time highs, and Bitcoin has re-approached the $60,000 mark. These are no coincidences but deep market reactions to potential risks.
This battle to defend the Federal Reserve has far-reaching significance. It not only concerns the future of the dollar but could also reshape the global asset allocation landscape. For those paying attention to macroeconomics and the crypto market, this trend warrants ongoing observation.