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#加密市场周期与情绪 Recently, I discovered a particularly interesting phenomenon. CryptoQuant analysts are discussing the market consensus shifting to bearish, saying that when everyone forms the same consensus, the market is actually more likely to reverse 🤔
This suddenly made me realize a truth — seemingly "smart" consensus might actually be the most dangerous signal. During periods from July to October and February to April, the market experienced such reversals. Now, at the beginning of November, we are entering a bearish consensus phase. The analysts seem to suggest that if most people are bearish, the chance for a reversal might actually be ahead?
But to be honest, this is a bit complicated for us newcomers. It feels like saying "don't blindly follow the crowd to be bearish, but also don't blindly be bullish." The key is to stay cautious and patient. Especially in a bear market environment, there's no rush 💭
Now I kind of understand why people always say "contrarian thinking is important." But exactly how to operate remains something I need to learn more about. Does anyone have experience to share? What should we do during these periods of consensus reversal?