Pi Network compresses to the critical point! Volatility is about to erupt, breaking through the target of $0.25

Pi Network price is currently consolidating above the $0.20 support level, compressing into the apex of a triangle pattern, with market volatility continuing to contract, indicating an imminent directional breakout. The $0.20 level overlaps with the value area low (VAL) and the point of control (POC), forming a strong technical support zone. The closer the price gets to the triangle apex, the smaller the sideways trading space, and the higher the likelihood of a breakout. The upward target is at the value area high and the $0.25 resistance level, but confirmation from volume is necessary. Over the past few months, Pi Network has exhibited significant accumulation characteristics within this zone. A successful breakout would mark a transition from consolidation to expansion.

Technical Logic of Triangle Apex Compression

Pi Network’s current price action is constructive, with the market continuously converging toward the triangle apex. This structure reflects a period of low volatility, where prices are increasingly constrained between narrowing support and resistance levels. As the price moves further toward the apex, the probability of a one-way breakout increases, making this area a critical decision point for the next move.

When the market approaches equilibrium and volatility begins to contract, a triangle pattern typically forms. As price fluctuations diminish, market pressure gradually accumulates and is eventually released through expansion. The closer the price gets to the triangle apex, the smaller the consolidation space, and the greater the chance of a breakout. For example, Pi Network’s price is nearing an equilibrium zone where buyers and sellers are vying for control. Decreasing volatility indicates the market is about to make a decision.

This alone does not guarantee the direction, but once the price reaches the apex, the likelihood of a strong and sustained move increases. Breakouts occurring in the late stage of a triangle pattern often lead to more powerful subsequent trends, as the market has spent more time compressing and accumulating liquidity needed for expansion. From a technical analysis perspective, breakouts that occur when the triangle has converged more than 80% tend to have higher success rates and longer-lasting effects than early breakouts.

Pi Network is in the final stage of compressing above the $0.20 support level into the triangle apex. This price level overlaps with the value area low (VAL) and the point of control (POC), forming a robust multi-layered technical support. VAL represents the lower boundary of price distribution, while POC is the level with the highest trading volume. When support coincides with these key indicators, the defensive strength of the zone is significantly enhanced.

Accumulation Zone Characteristics and Bottom Formation

Another important factor is that the $0.20 zone aligns with a broader accumulation area. Over the past few months, Pi Network’s price has been trading within this zone for an extended period, showing significant trading volume and establishing value. Prolonged consolidation near support often leads to a strong bottom. These bottoms create conditions where, once demand exceeds supply, the price can transition from a state of balance to expansion.

Regarding Pi Network’s current trend, the triangle pattern appears to be in the final compression phase of this broader accumulation process. If the market is indeed transitioning from accumulation to expansion, a bullish breakout from the triangle would represent a structural turning point, indicating Pi Network is moving toward a higher valuation regime.

Technical Confirmation Conditions for Triangle Breakout

Volume Confirmation: A genuine breakout should be accompanied by a surge in bullish volume, indicating active participation from buyers, rather than a slow price drift.

Close Above Resistance: The daily or 4-hour close must remain above the breakout level to prevent false signals.

Retest Without Falling Below: After the breakout, the price should retest the previous resistance (now support) without breaking below it, confirming the support turn is valid.

The formation of the accumulation zone typically takes weeks or even months, during which large amounts of capital change hands within a relatively narrow price range. Once enough selling pressure is absorbed, the market enters the next phase. Pi Network’s prolonged consolidation around $0.20 exemplifies this accumulation process. Volume distribution shows that trading density near $0.20 is significantly higher than in other price zones, indicating substantial funds are building positions at this level.

Volume Confirmation to Validate Breakout

Although the pattern is constructive, volume remains the key factor in judging the authenticity of a breakout. A true breakout should be accompanied by strong bullish volume expansion, reflecting active buying interest, rather than a slow price increase. Without volume confirmation, breakouts are more prone to failure, leading to false rallies and a return to the triangle range. Conversely, a volume-supported breakout increases the likelihood of price continuation and enhances the chances of reaching the resistance level.

Historical data shows that for a triangle breakout to be considered valid, volume should be at least 1.5 times the average trading volume of the past 20 days. If volume only slightly exceeds the average, the breakout is often tentative and may retreat upon encountering resistance. For Pi Network, investors should closely monitor volume bars during the breakout, as this provides the most direct indication of breakout validity.

Another critical volume observation is during the retest phase after the breakout. A healthy breakout often involves a brief pullback, with the price retesting the previous resistance (now support). If volume diminishes during the retest and the price holds the new support, it is a very bullish sign, confirming buying strength to sustain higher prices. Conversely, if volume increases during the retest and the price declines, it may indicate a false breakout, with the price falling back into the triangle.

Target Price and Risk Management After Breakout

In the short term, as volatility further contracts, the price of Pi Network may continue to narrow toward the triangle apex. Key support remains at $0.20. As long as the price stays above this level, the breakout remains viable, with upward targets potentially reaching the value area high and the $0.25 resistance level.

The $0.25 level represents approximately 25% upside potential, based on the theoretical target of the triangle pattern. In technical analysis, the target price of a symmetrical triangle is typically equal to the height of the widest part of the pattern projected upward from the breakout point. Pi Network’s widest part of the triangle is about $0.05, so the projected target after a breakout from $0.20 is approximately $0.25. This target also coincides with the value area high, forming a double resistance zone. A breakout beyond this level would require stronger momentum.

Ideally, a bullish breakout should be accompanied by volume expansion to confirm momentum and increase the likelihood of follow-through. From a technical, price action, and market structure perspective, Pi Network is at a critical turning point. The directional trend is imminent, and the coming trading days could determine whether the market enters a broader reversal and expansion phase. If the price falls below the $0.20 support, the triangle pattern would be invalidated, and the price could accelerate downward toward the next support zone.