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Recently, ETH has entered a downtrend again, and the comment section is full of questions: "Should I cut my losses now?" "Where is the bottom?" "Can it bounce back?" These are normal market reactions, but you need to look deeper.
My advice is not to rush. In my view, this kind of adjustment is actually a good opportunity for strategic positioning. However, the approach should be methodical—try small positions for trial and error, and wait for confirmation before increasing. This way, you can participate in the rebound without missing out.
Why operate this way? Because the crypto market still values trends. From a technical perspective, ETH's EMA10 and EMA50 have formed a death cross, but the RSI indicator has fallen to around 35, approaching oversold levels. What does this mean? Short-term selling pressure is weakening. The real positive news comes from the fundamentals—Ethereum's Fusaka upgrade is about to go live. This upgrade directly cuts L2 costs in half, increases Blob capacity by 20 times, and can reignite ETH's deflationary expectations. This is not just hype; it's a tangible technical upgrade. Coins supported by such fundamentals are worth watching during pullbacks.
How to view the price? I combined technical analysis with EMA+RSI backtesting and the progress of the fundamental upgrade and ecosystem activity to provide an expected framework. 2026 will be a key point, as the effects of Fusaka will gradually become evident by then. Of course, these are just analyses; specific actions depend on your own risk tolerance.
Don’t blindly follow the crowd to cut losses, and don’t blindly buy the dip. The market always offers opportunities to the patient.