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Recently, Bitcoin suddenly broke out of the small symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern. If the rebound doesn't come back and the previous "needle" low is also broken through, a genuine decline will begin in the short term.
The good news is that as long as it can climb back into the triangle area, there is a high probability of continuing to consolidate and build strength between $3300 and $3350. But the risks are also very real—the next support level to watch after breaking below $3300 is $3253. The previous rhythm of "rising for a while, then resting" has been completely disrupted.
From the hourly chart, $3346 is a key resistance level. Holding steady at this point is the only chance to restart the upward trend, aiming for the previous high or even breaking through new highs. Currently, it still looks relatively strong, but bears could initiate a sell-off at any time, so constant vigilance is necessary; sudden sharp declines can happen unexpectedly.
There's also a trap to watch out for—if the price surges upward but doesn't break the previous high, leaving a long upper shadow, it can easily evolve into a "double top" pattern, causing many traders to be shaken out. Conversely, such a pullback can provide an opportunity for late entrants. The macro trend still points upward, and after consolidation, the probability of continuing higher is greater.
The trading strategy could be to set up buy orders in batches between 3270 and 3240, with the first profit target at 3350 and the second at 3400. Once volume expands sufficiently and a clear breakout occurs, target the 3680 level directly.