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#Strategy加仓BTC The Federal Reserve shifts to a hawkish stance! With an interest rate cut cycle still far off, is a bull market still possible?
Last night, the Fed took action again, with multiple officials collectively signaling a hawkish outlook, stating that the probability of rate cuts has significantly decreased. They repeatedly emphasized the independence of the central bank's decision-making process should not be interfered with by politics, while also hinting that the January meeting is highly likely to keep rates unchanged. Inflation data remains high, and economic resilience exceeds expectations, indicating that short-term rate policy adjustments are unlikely. Once the news broke, market sentiment clearly came under pressure!$DASH
There is some division within the official camp. Kashkari and Williams support Powell’s stance on independence, repeatedly emphasizing that political investigations should not interfere with decision-making; however, Federal Reserve Board member Mester is relatively moderate, believing that signs of inflation retreat are already emerging. Although these differences exist, they do not obscure one fact: the window for rate cuts will not open before June at the earliest. Bostic even openly stated—"There is still quite a distance to go before reaching the 2% inflation target."⚠️$ICP
In the short term, risk assets are facing unavoidable adjustment pressures. Bitcoin and altcoins may experience a wave of volatility. But from another perspective, the Fed’s insistence on independence actually reduces the risk of policy distortion; meanwhile, the stability of economic fundamentals proves that the system has not shown signs of collapse.$ZEN
The real turning point may be hidden in the second half of the year. Once inflation data truly trends downward, the door to rate cuts will open, and funds may accelerate reallocation into crypto assets. Historically, policy clarity often signals that capital is ready to re-enter the market. So don’t be scared by recent fluctuations—hold your positions patiently. Such a downturn is often the best time for accumulation.🚀
What are your thoughts on this policy turning point? Share your ideas in the comments.