2026-01-14 22:24:44

ARK has generated an S-level short signal on the 4-hour chart, with an approximate success probability of around 58%.

From a technical perspective, the RSI has entered the overbought zone (above 65), and the price is approaching the recent resistance area. The strength at this key level has reached 75%, and this level has been tested 8 times by the market, indicating some pressure here. In terms of scoring, the signal strength is rated at 88 points, with an effective duration of 480 minutes.

The suggested entry point is at 0.2979, with a recommended position size of 0.7%. The stop-loss is set at 0.30615, representing a risk of approximately 2.77%. If the trade progresses smoothly, there are three take-profit targets to consider: the first at 0.28553 (risk-reward ratio 1.5:1), the second at 0.27728 (risk-reward ratio 2.5:1), and the third at 0.2649 (risk-reward ratio 4.0:1).

Overall market sentiment indicates a sideways trend, with a long-short ratio of 1.78:1 leaning towards bullishness, but trading volume remains relatively low. The order book shows a buy-sell ratio of 1.27:1, and the ADX strength index is at 43.3. The upper band of the moving regression channel is at 0.3079, the lower band at 0.2833, and the Fibonacci 0.618 level is around 0.2985.

It is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and strict stop-loss measures must be implemented to control risk. This signal is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading decisions should be made cautiously based on your own analysis.

ARK-2.59%

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FlatlineTrader

· 8h ago

58% success rate? I'll wait and see, feels like the probability isn't strong enough. RSI is overbought 8 times already, is this really going to crash this time... Is ARK serious this time or just trying to trick me into stop-loss? With such low trading volume, what's the use of just looking at signal strength? 0.7% position size is a bit small, but considering the volatility... forget it, I'll take the advice. Those three take-profit targets are so far apart, which one should I follow? In a choppy market, shorting is the most annoying, just afraid of a sudden reverse surge.

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nft_widow

· 19h ago

58% success rate? That's not even as high as flipping a coin. I think it's a bit risky. Honestly, just because RSI is overbought, you think you can short? The last time I did that, I got proven wrong. Whether ARK can drop this time is still uncertain. Setting such tight stop-losses, with a 0.7% position size, doesn't seem to make much sense... Forget it, I'll stay on the sidelines.

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PessimisticLayer

· 19h ago

58% success rate? Isn't that just flipping a coin haha, and it takes 480 minutes to tinker --- RSI is overbought and still dropping? I think it's a gamble... --- Every time you say S-grade signals, why does my account only have S-grade losses --- 0.7% position size is so cautious, do you really believe in your 88 points --- Low trading volume and still daring to short, that's just ridiculous --- Fibonacci and moving tracks again, no matter how many indicators pile up, they can't change the market's randomness --- Can't break through after 8 tests? I bet this time it will rebound again

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GasFeeCrier

· 20h ago

58% success rate? Isn't that just flipping a coin haha, and I have to control a 0.7% position, which feels a bit overcautious.

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