Looking at the candlestick chart and seeing the dawn, my mind is filled with those past liquidation experiences.

At three in the morning, the screen light shone on Zhang Wei's face—Bitcoin suddenly dropped 15%, and the 20x leverage long positions were wiped out. Such incidents have become too common in 2025; 90% of newcomers don't survive three months. This is not an alarmist statement.

But there is another group of people in the market—they don't chase stories of overnight riches. Using fivefold leverage combined with macro strategies, they profit from market fluctuations, earning life-changing gains. Today, let's talk about how to survive in the futures market, and even thrive.

**Policy direction is more valuable than anything else**

Many people are obsessed with K-lines, moving averages, MACD, but they fail to see what truly moves prices—the rhythm of global policies.

The influence of Federal Reserve interest rate meetings outweighs any technical indicator. When the signal to pause rate hikes was announced in April 2025, Bitcoin immediately surged by 15 points. Those who positioned early earned far more than those staring at screens all day.

The approval process for US crypto ETFs is also a decisive factor, affecting the overall direction in the coming months. Clearing positions before non-farm payroll data is a lesson learned from liquidation. Lucky psychology is worthless in the face of the market.

**Position size determines how long you can survive**

The biggest trap for beginners is this—your total position should never exceed 5% of your principal. If you have 10,000 USDT, open positions no larger than 500. Even experienced traders should not exceed 20%, don’t be brainwashed by stories of getting rich overnight.

I personally use the 3331 allocation method: 30% of the capital is reserved for the most certain opportunities, another 30% for medium-confidence swings, 20% for trial-and-error trades, and the remaining 20% as emergency funds. This way, even if you make several wrong calls in a row, you won’t be wiped out.

Position management, in essence, is about keeping yourself alive to see the next market wave.