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My take on premarket valuations and token launches comes down to two fundamental drivers: valuation and price discovery.
On valuation: the core question is whether a project is undervalued relative to comparable projects in the market. Think about it—you've got an operational Layer 1 blockchain actually processing real transactions, yet it trades at a lower market cap than some hyped-up chain that hasn't even launched. Or consider a meaningfully faster blockchain with superior technology, priced as if it's just another me-too solution. These disconnects happen because the market hasn't properly reconciled the technical differences with the financial valuation.
Price discovery is where the real action is. Premature token launches often suffer from poor price discovery because liquidity is thin, information asymmetry is high, and the market simply hasn't had enough time to test demand across different price levels. Once you get adequate trading volume and time for bidders and sellers to interact, you typically see the market converge on a more rational price point that reflects actual adoption metrics, competitive positioning, and tokenomics.