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Recently, I built a position of over 1% in $OKM. Here I share my investment logic:
First, the project team is unlikely to actively engage. Since I don't rely on this expectation, I won't be caught off guard or trapped by the lack of interaction. Conversely, if suddenly there is interaction, it would be an unexpected gain, a guaranteed critical hit.
Second, I estimate the probability of listing is also low. Since there is no expectation of a listing, I won't be disappointed by the reality of "not yet listed." But think about it—what if it actually gets listed? Even if the project team doesn't have wallet interactions or cooperation, just the listing itself can ignite market expectations. It's probably unlikely, but if it happens, the profit potential is enormous.
In simple terms, this is using a limited position to gamble on a low-probability, high-reward event. The losses when you lose are manageable, but the returns when you win are sufficiently attractive.