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France just hit a milestone nobody wanted—first peacetime decline in its natural population. Deaths are now outpacing births, marking a significant shift in Europe's demographic landscape.
This isn't just a headline for demographics nerds. When you zoom out, you're looking at aging developed economies, shrinking workforces, and mounting pressure on social systems. These macro trends hit different when you're thinking about long-term asset allocation and market cycles.
Historically, population growth correlates with economic expansion and consumer spending. Reverse that equation? You get slower growth narratives, which shapes everything—from bond markets to commodity cycles. Some traders are already factoring this into their thesis on European macroeconomic headwinds.
The broader EU demographic crisis has been brewing for years. France is just the latest to confirm it in official stats. Whether this accelerates pension reform, immigration policy shifts, or reshapes investment flows into emerging markets—time will tell. But it's definitely one of those slow-burn macro trends that rewires market assumptions over the next decade.