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Bitcoin Technical Structure: Premium Zone Rejection Setup
On the 4-hour timeframe, BTC continues to trade into the daily premium zone, signaling potential resistance ahead. Before considering short positions, I'm monitoring for a clear hourly mean reversion swing that would confirm rejection at these levels.
Current Strategy:
If price retraces back to the discount zone and we spot a bullish 15-minute mean reversion setup, that presents a solid long opportunity. The daily trend context still suggests caution on aggressive shorts, so this pullback could be the safer entry point.
Target Projection:
The profit target sits at 1:1 risk-reward ratio, accounting for the daily trend working against short positions. This means your upside potential matches your initial risk exposure—a balanced risk setup when trading with the broader daily structure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Daily premium zone (resistance)
- Discount zone (support/retracement area)
- Hourly confirmation patterns before entry
The setup hinges on patience: wait for the structure to provide clear confluence between the daily resistance and hourly reversal signals before committing to either direction.