OpenSea is about to launch a token, and there are differing opinions in the market about its valuation prospects. According to data from prediction markets, the probability that its FDV will surpass $1 billion after the first day is about 62%, while the chance of exceeding $2 billion is only 27%. This reflects investors' cautious attitude towards its performance upon launch.



As a background reference, OpenSea completed a $300 million Series C funding round in January 2022 with a post-money valuation of $13.3 billion, with well-known investors such as Paradigm participating. Now, the FDV expectation is far below its previous valuation, indicating that in the context of cooling NFT markets and intensified competition, market expectations have been significantly adjusted. From the sky-high valuation at the time of funding to the cautious forecasts now, OpenSea's valuation downward trajectory is quite noteworthy.
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GweiWatchervip
· 2h ago
The probability of dropping from 13.3 billion to 2 billion is less than 30%. This is the reality of Web3. The once "unicorns" now have to bow their heads in submission.
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MEVHunterNoLossvip
· 2h ago
13.3 billion to 1 billion, this decline is truly remarkable. That wave of NFTs indeed trapped many people. OpenSea also has to bow its head, once the chosen one, now relying on tokens to rescue the market. Could this be the fate of Web3? Yesterday's king begging today. Only a 27% chance of reaching 2 billion; investors are really timid. It feels like launching a token is a gamble, betting on retail investors' IQ. Falling from 13.3 billion to now, this story is truly ironic. If this downturn continues, the valuation will probably keep plunging.
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0xSleepDeprivedvip
· 2h ago
Ha, 13.3 billion and this is how it is now... NFTs really got exposed --- From heaven to reality, OpenSea's situation is a bit grim --- Wait, only a 27% chance to break 2 billion? Feels uncertain --- The sky-high funding in 2022 now looks like a joke --- After NFTs cooled down, who still buys in, to be honest --- Even 1 billion isn't necessarily stable, what the hell are these expectations --- What was Paradigm thinking back then... investing so much --- Intensified competition + market cooling, double blow, hard to handle
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GateUser-cff9c776vip
· 2h ago
From 13.3 billion to 1 billion, this is what I call Schrödinger's bull market. NFT is dead, and OpenSea's valuation is a sacrificial offering --- Honestly, this supply and demand curve has been drawn so clearly. The market is voting with FDV, and the votes are against --- Warren Buffett probably can't help but laugh when he sees OpenSea's valuation trajectory, perfectly illustrating what bubble philosophy is --- A 62% probability to still bet? I think I'll wait and see, anyway the NFT narrative has already been shattered --- Oh my God, a 27% chance from 13.3 billion to 2 billion... Isn't that saying the OpenSea story is already over? --- Don't be fooled by the funding data, the market has been sober for a long time. This is just the final market pricing --- I just want to know how Paradigm feels now, from sky-high prices to this, truly a perfect portrayal of Web3 reality
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OnchainHolmesvip
· 3h ago
From 13.3 billion to possibly 1-2 billion, this downward trajectory is really intense. The NFT bubble is bursting just as it was said. --- Honestly, it's not surprising that OpenSea's valuation was cut in half; the NFT market has been so bleak. --- There’s a 62% chance of falling below 1 billion, sounds pretty pessimistic... Is this still OpenSea? --- Back when Paradigm invested, how impressive was that? Now, how many discounts are needed? --- With so many competitors, OpenSea might not be able to hold onto its former position. --- Wait, after raising funds with a valuation of 13.3 billion, now the expectation is only 2 billion? How many people lost out? --- It seems like launching tokens can't save it either; it's fundamentally a market-wide issue. --- OpenSea's decline is a microcosm of the entire NFT ecosystem; it's quite sad. --- This rapid decline in valuation is even faster than I expected, it's a bit heartbreaking.
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