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Gate Square New & Returning Creator Rewards are ongoing!
Your ideas may be more valuable than you think!
Make your first post or come back post to share a $20,000 monthly prize pool!
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#Strategy加仓BTC 【The cycle theory might be failing】Will Bitcoin's "Four-Year Curse" happen again?
Retail investors are still watching that old formula: the four-year cycle. However, market participants are starting to consider another question—whether this theory still works.
The US crypto policy is clearly shifting. Since the beginning of this year, the US stock market has been steadily strengthening, and the overall environment in the capital markets is improving. These changes are reshaping the foundation on which Bitcoin operates.
The key question is simple: when the structure of funds changes, can history repeat itself as before?
From the perspective of large institutions, the answer might be no. Cycles exist because market participants' behavior patterns are relatively fixed. But when policy directions change, incremental funds flow in, and market structures upgrade—the old rules may become invalid.
The current environment is indeed different from the past.
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