#数字资产市场动态 $ETH's current trend is quite interesting—at the 3286 level, the 4-hour chart still looks like it's pushing higher, but the 15-minute details reveal a problem. RSI has already surged to 74.7, a clear overbought signal. A short-term pullback is almost certain.

But this is precisely the moment that seasoned traders get excited. The real trading opportunities are often hidden within consolidation.

From a technical perspective, both the 4-hour and 1-hour upward trends are intact. The only issue is that the short-term gains are too rapid, requiring a pullback to "shake out" the accumulated profit-taking. When the price retreats to a suitable zone, going long could align with the main force's next surge. This is trend-following, not chasing highs.

Key support levels to remember: 1-hour level at 3171.81, 4-hour level at 3066.00. Holding these lines gives bulls a chance. The first target is 3380 as a checkpoint; if broken, then aim for 3480.

The most practical approach is this: don't rush to chase the rally, but patiently wait for a pullback. The ideal entry zone is around 3210 to 3230—close to the 1-hour support but not at the bottom, providing just enough room for a correction. Once the price drops into this range, combined with reversal patterns like "bullish engulfing" or "hammer," it's time to pull the trigger.

Set your stop-loss below 3165. This is a hard bottom; if broken, it indicates the previous analysis has failed, and you should exit decisively.

Regarding position sizing, be conservative—limit risk per trade to within 1.5% of total capital. A more cautious approach is to build positions gradually: first take a position at 3230, then add at 3210. When the price reaches 3300, immediately move your stop-loss to the cost basis, so subsequent volatility becomes an opportunity to profit.

Profit-taking should also be staged. When reaching 3380, close half of the position to lock in gains. The remaining position, which is all profit, can be allowed to run toward 3480.

The 1-hour RSI has rebounded from oversold levels to 39.7, indicating weakening of the pullback momentum. Bulls may launch a counterattack at any moment. Truly experienced traders won't chase in such conditions but will wait for this shakeout to complete.